IND 1.5 o225.0
MIA -1.5 u225.0
BOS -4.5 o218.5
MIN 4.5 u218.5
LAC 11.0 o215.5
OKC -11.0 u215.5
BK 13.5 o221.0
MIL -13.5 u221.0
PHI 3.0 o216.5
GS -3.0 u216.5
POR 9.5 o224.0
LAL -9.5 u224.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE27-5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE19-13

Oklahoma City @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Caruso
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Alex Caruso has successfully made 41.2% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Alex Caruso has successfully made 41.2% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to decrease possessions for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.7

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to decrease possessions for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Russell Westbrook will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Russell Westbrook will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins comes in at the 87th percentile for field goal proficiency with a superb 55.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins measures in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a great 48.2% rate since the start of last season. Aaron Wiggins has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (21st percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins comes in at the 87th percentile for field goal proficiency with a superb 55.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins measures in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a great 48.2% rate since the start of last season. Aaron Wiggins has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (21st percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The 5th-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The 5th-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has converted 26.9% of his 3-point shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0). The 5th-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Aaron Gordon has converted 26.9% of his 3-point shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0). The 5th-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 82nd percentile, totaling an enormous 16.5 points per game since the start of last season. Chet Holmgren has successfully made 52.2% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has played 30.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 93rd percentile with a colossal 11.9 shot attempts from the field against him per game since the start of last season.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 82nd percentile, totaling an enormous 16.5 points per game since the start of last season. Chet Holmgren has successfully made 52.2% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has played 30.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 93rd percentile with a colossal 11.9 shot attempts from the field against him per game since the start of last season.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has sunk 41.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder, marking this as a positive matchup.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has sunk 41.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder, marking this as a positive matchup.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 90th percentile for shots from the field sunk, posting a massive 7.5 per game since the start of last season. Jalen Williams has successfully made 41.8% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 90th percentile for shots from the field sunk, posting a massive 7.5 per game since the start of last season. Jalen Williams has successfully made 41.8% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 39.1% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 39.1% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-125

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.2 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers converted, compiling 2.7 per game since the start of last season. Michael Porter Jr. has played 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.2 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers converted, compiling 2.7 per game since the start of last season. Michael Porter Jr. has played 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe measures in the 94th percentile for 3-point ability with a stellar 41.9% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe rates in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 1.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Isaiah Joe has successfully made 86.9% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe measures in the 94th percentile for 3-point ability with a stellar 41.9% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe rates in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 1.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Isaiah Joe has successfully made 86.9% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Christian Braun stands to see a spike in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Christian Braun

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to field goals. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Christian Braun stands to see a spike in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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