PHO -2.0 o222.5
PHI 2.0 u222.5
POR 6.5 o224.0
DET -6.5 u224.0
MIL -6.0 o231.0
TOR 6.0 u231.0
ORL 11.5 o207.0
NY -11.5 u207.0
IND -11.0 o221.0
BK 11.0 u221.0
SA -3.0 o236.0
CHI 3.0 u236.0
LAC 2.5 o214.5
MIN -2.5 u214.5
DAL 5.0 o231.0
MEM -5.0 u231.0
MIA 2.5 o218.5
SAC -2.5 u218.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-14
Minnesota 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-17

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-123
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-123
Projection Rating

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves). Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves). Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 65.4% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has played 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. When guarding other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic slots into the 96th percentile with a massive 12.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game since the start of last season. Rudy Gobert will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production across the board.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 65.4% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has played 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. When guarding other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic slots into the 96th percentile with a massive 12.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game since the start of last season. Rudy Gobert will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production across the board.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray ranks in the 93rd percentile for shots, tallying 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 91st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a stellar 40.4% rate since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has played 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray ranks in the 93rd percentile for shots, tallying 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 91st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a stellar 40.4% rate since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has played 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.3 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 91st percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, totaling 6.5 per game since the start of last season. Michael Porter Jr. has played 32.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Michael Porter

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.3 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 91st percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, totaling 6.5 per game since the start of last season. Michael Porter Jr. has played 32.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 89th percentile for scoring performance away from home with a superb 57.1% rate since the start of last season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 89th percentile for scoring performance away from home with a superb 57.1% rate since the start of last season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid measures in the 82nd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a superb 38.4% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid measures in the 82nd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a superb 38.4% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Jaden McDaniels has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Christian Braun

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in the NBA as the away team with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 94th percentile, totaling a massive 21.7 points per game on his home court since the start of last season. Julius Randle has attempted 4.3 three-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle places in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a good matchup.

Julius Randle

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 94th percentile, totaling a massive 21.7 points per game on his home court since the start of last season. Julius Randle has attempted 4.3 three-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle places in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a good matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley registers in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness on his home court with a stellar 42.6% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Mike Conley has sunk 87.7% of his free throw attempts while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe. Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production in all stat categories.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley registers in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness on his home court with a stellar 42.6% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Mike Conley has sunk 87.7% of his free throw attempts while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe. Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production in all stat categories.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 22.2% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league. The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves). Among all players in the league, Russell Westbrook measures in the 20th percentile for free-throw prowess with a weak 67.5% rate since the start of last season.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 22.2% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league. The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves). Among all players in the league, Russell Westbrook measures in the 20th percentile for free-throw prowess with a weak 67.5% rate since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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