LIVE End Nov 21
ORL 36 5.0 o216.0
LAL 38 -5.0 u216.0
Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Sacramento 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-7
Toronto 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE4-12

Sacramento @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Doug McDermott Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. McDermott
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Doug McDermott has successfully made 36.6% of his field goals while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. Doug McDermott has averaged 13.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.1 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Doug McDermott has made 0.2 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Doug McDermott

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Doug McDermott has successfully made 36.6% of his field goals while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. Doug McDermott has averaged 13.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.1 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Doug McDermott has made 0.2 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 81st percentile for shots taken while on the road, averaging 12.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.7 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 81st percentile for shots taken while on the road, averaging 12.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.7 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 12.2 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Malik Monk has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Malik Monk has attempted 12.2 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Malik Monk has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter slots into the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 5.4 per game since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter slots into the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 5.4 per game since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett places in the 19th percentile for three-point effectiveness while on his home court with a lackluster 26.7% rate since the start of last season. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-least aggressive team in the NBA at home this year has been the Toronto Raptors.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett places in the 19th percentile for three-point effectiveness while on his home court with a lackluster 26.7% rate since the start of last season. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-least aggressive team in the NBA at home this year has been the Toronto Raptors.

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Gradey Dick has attempted 15.3 shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Gradey Dick has played 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Kings, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Gradey Dick

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Gradey Dick has attempted 15.3 shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Gradey Dick has played 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Kings, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-129
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-129
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a tough one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe. De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a tough one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe. De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Davion Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Davion Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 59.8% of his field goals since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 87th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a great 39.0% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points logged against Jakob Poeltl has been very high (25.8 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 59.8% of his field goals since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 87th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a great 39.0% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points logged against Jakob Poeltl has been very high (25.8 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league). DeMar DeRozan will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league). DeMar DeRozan will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Ochai Agbaji will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Ochai Agbaji will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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