LIVE 00:41 2nd Nov 24
BK 64 10.5 o223.0
SAC 55 -10.5 u223.0
Final Nov 24
MIN 105 8.0 o222.0
BOS 107 -8.0 u222.0
Final Nov 24
WAS 103 12.0 o240.0
IND 115 -12.0 u240.0
Final Nov 24
LAC 125 -1.5 o210.5
PHI 99 1.5 u210.5
Final OT Nov 24
DAL 118 2.5 o220.5
MIA 123 -2.5 u220.5
Final Nov 24
TOR 108 11.5 o233.5
CLE 122 -11.5 u233.5
Miami 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE7-7
Minnesota 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-8

Miami @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid places in the 83rd percentile for free-throw ability with an exceptional 92.9% rate this year. Naz Reid ought to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Naz Reid has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid places in the 83rd percentile for free-throw ability with an exceptional 92.9% rate this year. Naz Reid ought to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 30.6% clip, Bam Adebayo's 3-point ability has fallen this year to 10.0%. When it comes to offense, the Heat's feeble 44.8% field goal percentage places 6th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. Bam Adebayo has sunk a measly 63.8% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 74.4 mark last year. Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

In contrast to last year's 30.6% clip, Bam Adebayo's 3-point ability has fallen this year to 10.0%. When it comes to offense, the Heat's feeble 44.8% field goal percentage places 6th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. Bam Adebayo has sunk a measly 63.8% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 74.4 mark last year. Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of points scored against Bam Adebayo has been very high (18.2 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Rudy Gobert has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite high this year (4.2 free throw attempts per game when they are at home: 100th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of points scored against Bam Adebayo has been very high (18.2 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Rudy Gobert has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite high this year (4.2 free throw attempts per game when they are at home: 100th percentile).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Heat's feeble 44.8% field goal percentage places 6th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production across the board.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

When it comes to offense, the Heat's feeble 44.8% field goal percentage places 6th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production across the board.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 85th percentile for threes converted when playing away from home, logging 2.3 per game this year. Terry Rozier has played 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the league).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 85th percentile for threes converted when playing away from home, logging 2.3 per game this year. Terry Rozier has played 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the league).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has converted an impressive 54.4% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 46.3 rate last season. Julius Randle has averaged 33.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup. Julius Randle has made 4.1 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Julius Randle has converted an impressive 54.4% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 46.3 rate last season. Julius Randle has averaged 33.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup. Julius Randle has made 4.1 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

The Heat check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 41.1% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance for all stats.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 41.1% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance for all stats.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Compared to last season's 86.8% rate, Mike Conley's free-throw performance has surged this season to 95.0%. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA). Mike Conley should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 119.6 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Compared to last season's 86.8% rate, Mike Conley's free-throw performance has surged this season to 95.0%. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA). Mike Conley should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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