ATL 9.5 o237.0
BOS -9.5 u237.0
PHI 10.5 o224.5
IND -10.5 u224.5
WAS 13.0 o230.0
GS -13.0 u230.0
CLE -5.5 o226.5
MIN 5.5 u226.5
HOU -11.0 o223.0
POR 11.0 u223.0
Final Jan 18
PHO 125 -1.0 o227.0
DET 121 1.0 u227.0
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE20-20
Toronto 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE10-32

Miami @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja'Kobe Walter Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Walter
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Ja'Kobe Walter will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Ja'Kobe Walter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Ja'Kobe Walter will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 52.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, making this a strong matchup. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Haywood Highsmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 52.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, making this a strong matchup. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Haywood Highsmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has notched 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's notched overall this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 62.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 32.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jimmy Butler has notched 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's notched overall this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 62.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 32.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Terry Rozier has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has converted 42.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The number of points logged against Jakob Poeltl has been remarkably high (17.7 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Bam Adebayo has converted 42.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The number of points logged against Jakob Poeltl has been remarkably high (17.7 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has registered 23.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 94th percentile. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Tyler Herro has registered 23.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 94th percentile. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Toronto Raptors have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Raptors. Scottie Barnes has failed to make 1.7 free throw attempts per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.9 rate last year.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

The Toronto Raptors have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Raptors. Scottie Barnes has failed to make 1.7 free throw attempts per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.9 rate last year.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league). Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league). Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Ochai Agbaji has made 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Ochai Agbaji has made 41.6% of his treys this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Ochai Agbaji has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Ochai Agbaji has made 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Ochai Agbaji has made 41.6% of his treys this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Ochai Agbaji has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has attempted 5.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

RJ Barrett has attempted 5.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Davion Mitchell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Davion Mitchell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-point shots; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 56.9% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-point shots; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 56.9% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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