Final Jan 8
WAS 103 10.5 o221.5
PHI 109 -10.5 u221.5
Final Jan 8
CHI 113 5.0 o246.0
IND 129 -5.0 u246.0
Final Jan 8
OKC 122 3.0 o231.5
CLE 129 -3.0 u231.5
Final Jan 8
DET 113 -9.5 o211.5
BK 98 9.5 u211.5
Final Jan 8
TOR 98 12.5 o232.5
NY 112 -12.5 u232.5
Final Jan 8
POR 119 2.0 o222.5
NO 100 -2.0 u222.5
Final Jan 8
LAC 103 -3.5 o224.0
DEN 126 3.5 u224.0
Final Jan 8
SA 105 4.5 o226.5
MIL 121 -4.5 u226.5
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE24-12
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-18

Houston @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 48.6% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, making this a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 48.6% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, making this a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has sunk 62.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The faceoff with Alperen Sengun ranks in just the 89th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs draining a massive 1.3 three-pointers per game this year when they are at home. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kevon Looney has sunk 62.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The faceoff with Alperen Sengun ranks in just the 89th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs draining a massive 1.3 three-pointers per game this year when they are at home. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 0.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Houston Rockets check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. When playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Kevon Looney places in the 4th percentile with just 0.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 0.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Houston Rockets check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. When playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Kevon Looney places in the 4th percentile with just 0.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (24th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Trayce Jackson-Davis has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (24th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (worst in the league) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a difficult matchup. Relative to last season's 73.0% mark, Jonathan Kuminga's foul-shot performance has declined this season to 52.6%. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls while at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.5 foul shot attempts per game.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (worst in the league) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a difficult matchup. Relative to last season's 73.0% mark, Jonathan Kuminga's foul-shot performance has declined this season to 52.6%. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls while at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.5 foul shot attempts per game.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has successfully made 66.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 12.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road. Amen Thompson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Amen Thompson has successfully made 66.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 12.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road. Amen Thompson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Fred VanVleet has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile. The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile. The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield measures in the 94th percentile for foul-shot prowess with a remarkable 95.0% rate this year.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Buddy Hield has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield measures in the 94th percentile for foul-shot prowess with a remarkable 95.0% rate this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 82nd percentile, tallying a whopping 17.2 points per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Andrew Wiggins has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 82nd percentile, tallying a whopping 17.2 points per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Andrew Wiggins has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 90th percentile for field goal attempts, registering 16.1 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 7.4 threes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 90th percentile for field goal attempts, registering 16.1 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 7.4 threes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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