LIVE End Jan 9
TOR 126 13.5 o234.5
CLE 132 -13.5 u234.5
LIVE 02:41 4th Jan 9
MIN 100 -6.0 o199.5
ORL 80 6.0 u199.5
LIVE 01:38 4th Jan 9
GS 102 -2.5 o221.0
DET 96 2.5 u221.0
LIVE 10:05 4th Jan 9
POR 91 7.5 o220.0
DAL 88 -7.5 u220.0
LIVE Halftime Jan 9
HOU 68 2.5 o234.0
MEM 63 -2.5 u234.0
LIVE 06:59 1st Jan 9
ATL 11 6.0 o238.0
PHO 13 -6.0 u238.0
LIVE 06:40 1st Jan 9
MIA 7 -5.5 o222.0
UTA 14 5.5 u222.0
Phoenix 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE16-19
Miami 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE18-17

Phoenix @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Grayson Allen has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • Phoenix

M. Plumlee
center C • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Adebayo is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 52.2% of their three-pointers (96th percentile). The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Adebayo is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 52.2% of their three-pointers (96th percentile). The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. Terry Rozier will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Terry Rozier has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. Terry Rozier will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has tallied 32.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The clash with Mason Plumlee ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs totaling a massive 19.1 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The faceoff with Mason Plumlee in regard to getting to the charity stripe registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.8 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bam Adebayo has made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has tallied 32.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The clash with Mason Plumlee ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs totaling a massive 19.1 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The faceoff with Mason Plumlee in regard to getting to the charity stripe registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.8 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% more than he's converted overall this year.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Royce O'Neale has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% more than he's converted overall this year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played overall this season. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA). Haywood Highsmith is expected to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Haywood Highsmith has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played overall this season. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA). Haywood Highsmith is expected to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Phoenix

T. Jones
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Suns. The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Tyus Jones will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Suns. The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Tyus Jones will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bradley Beal has successfully made 6.9 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 86th percentile for 3-point shots hit, posting 2.3 per game this year. Bradley Beal has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a good one for threes; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have made an enormous 48.4% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Bradley Beal has successfully made 6.9 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 86th percentile for 3-point shots hit, posting 2.3 per game this year. Bradley Beal has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a good one for threes; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have made an enormous 48.4% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Suns. The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Devin Booker ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

Devin Booker

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Suns. The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Devin Booker ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has averaged 25.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Suns are on the road, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). Jimmy Butler has sunk 8.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this year at home.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Jimmy Butler has averaged 25.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Suns are on the road, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). Jimmy Butler has sunk 8.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this year at home.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 81st percentile for three-point attempts playing at home, averaging 5.7 per game this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the league). Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 81st percentile for three-point attempts playing at home, averaging 5.7 per game this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the league). Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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