Miami @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Bam Adebayo has made 51.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 37.7% rate of made threes ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year. The number of field goals made against Clint Capela has been very high (6.7 per game) when he is on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter registers in the 93rd percentile for threes made, compiling 2.8 per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's excellent 123.0 points per game while at home places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home. De'Andre Hunter stands to get a boost in production for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson measures in the 90th percentile for three-pointers drained, registering 2.5 per game this year. With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 37.7% rate of made threes ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (13.6). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat). The Hawks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith comes in at the 76th percentile for field goal efficiency on the road with a remarkable 50.8% rate this year. With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 37.7% rate of made threes ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, making this a positive matchup. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. The clash with Jalen Johnson when it comes to getting to the free-throw line rates in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting PFs attempting a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year.

The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat). The Hawks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Dyson Daniels has made 66.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

When it comes to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's excellent 123.0 points per game while at home places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The rate of three-pointers hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (52.2%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Clint Capela ought to get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 37.7% rate of made threes ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier has sunk 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Vit Krejci has averaged 27.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 14.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. When it comes to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's excellent 123.0 points per game while at home places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Vit Krejci will likely see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 37.7% rate of made threes ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Trae Young has notched 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's notched over the course of the year. Trae Young has attempted 8.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Trae Young slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's excellent 123.0 points per game while at home places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

When it comes to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's excellent 123.0 points per game while at home places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA). Zaccharie Risacher will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Alec Burks has gone over 8.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Larry Nance Jr. has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Garrison Mathews has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nikola Jovic has gone over 8.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.