CHA 6.5 o220.5
DET -6.5 u220.5
ORL -1.5 o215.5
TOR 1.5 u215.5
NY 5.0 o223.0
OKC -5.0 u223.0
WAS 7.5 o233.5
NO -7.5 u233.5
BOS -2.0 o221.0
HOU 2.0 u221.0
CLE -7.5 o230.5
DAL 7.5 u230.5
SA 6.5 o238.0
DEN -6.5 u238.0
MEM 2.5 o241.5
SAC -2.5 u241.5
ATL 3.0 o231.0
LAL -3.0 u231.0
New Orleans 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE5-29
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-15

New Orleans @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 16.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 16.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 11.0 rate, Trey Murphy III's shots have spiked this season to 15.1 per game. Trey Murphy III has successfully made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Compared to last season's 11.0 rate, Trey Murphy III's shots have spiked this season to 15.1 per game. Trey Murphy III has successfully made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • New Orleans

D. Murray
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray rates in the 90th percentile for shots from the field when playing on the road, tallying 16.0 per game this year. Dejounte Murray has played 33.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray rates in the 90th percentile for shots from the field when playing on the road, tallying 16.0 per game this year. Dejounte Murray has played 33.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-133
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-133
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has converted 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has sunk 52.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, making this a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Haywood Highsmith has converted 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has sunk 52.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, making this a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Yves Missi has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this year. The rate of 3-point shots drained against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (48.1%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Yves Missi

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Yves Missi has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this year. The rate of 3-point shots drained against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (48.1%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 62.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has converted 54.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, 17.0% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 62.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has converted 54.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, 17.0% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has logged 22.9 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.1 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Tyler Herro has logged 22.9 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.1 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Herbert Jones has made 51.8% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The rate of treys scored against Jimmy Butler has been very high (46.0%) when matched up against opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Herbert Jones has made 51.8% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The rate of treys scored against Jimmy Butler has been very high (46.0%) when matched up against opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jordan Hawkins has converted an impressive 2.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.0 rate last season.

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jordan Hawkins has converted an impressive 2.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.0 rate last season.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-115

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's made in all games this year while at home. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The faceoff with Yves Missi places in the 97th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making a whopping 42.8% of their 3-point shots this year. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's made in all games this year while at home. The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The faceoff with Yves Missi places in the 97th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making a whopping 42.8% of their 3-point shots this year. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.7 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 16.0 rate last year. CJ McCollum has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.3 minutes per game on the road this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.7 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 16.0 rate last year. CJ McCollum has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.3 minutes per game on the road this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The 6th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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