San Antonio @ Denver Picks & Props

Relative to last year's 36.0% rate, Julian Champagnie's field goal prowess has jumped this year to 41.4%. Julian Champagnie has been on the court for an impressive 27.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 19.9 minutes per game last year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Julian Champagnie has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Chris Paul has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the league).

Devin Vassell has attempted 5.7 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell measures in the 86th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a stellar 87.7% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

The number of field goal attempts against Victor Wembanyama has been quite low (10.3 per game) when on the visiting team and facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Victor Wembanyama has been very low this year (2.9 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 17th percentile).

Russell Westbrook has sunk 67.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 22.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 14th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 0.9 fouls per game this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Stephon Castle has made 36.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Stephon Castle comes in at the 19th percentile for 3-point prowess when playing away from home with a bad 23.3% rate this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

Christian Braun has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 8.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Peyton Watson has converted 61.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. Peyton Watson has sunk 47.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's made from three in all games this year while on his home court. The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Peyton Watson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.7 shots from the field per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 0.9 threes per game (3rd percentile). The Spurs have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Victor Wembanyama will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 88th percentile for field goals converted while at home, registering a colossal 6.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.2 minutes per game at home this year. The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 8.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Tre Jones has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Zach Collins has gone over 5.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

DeAndre Jordan has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.