Final Jan 4
PHI 123 -9.0 o212.0
BK 94 9.0 u212.0
Final Jan 4
MIN 105 -6.5 o216.0
DET 119 6.5 u216.0
Final Jan 4
PHO 108 2.5 o234.0
IND 126 -2.5 u234.0
Final Jan 4
UTA 136 9.0 o225.0
MIA 100 -9.0 u225.0
Final Jan 4
NY 126 -5.5 o238.5
CHI 139 5.5 u238.5
Final OT Jan 4
DEN 122 -3.0 o236.5
SA 111 3.0 u236.5
Final Jan 4
POR 105 11.5 o228.0
MIL 102 -11.5 u228.0
Final Jan 4
MEM 113 3.0 o230.0
GS 121 -3.0 u230.0
Final Jan 4
ATL 105 7.0 o230.0
LAC 131 -7.0 u230.0
Memphis 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE23-13
Sacramento 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE16-19

Memphis @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Keon Ellis rates in the 85th percentile for three-point prowess with a phenomenal 40.4% rate this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% more than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Out of all players in the league, Keon Ellis rates in the 85th percentile for three-point prowess with a phenomenal 40.4% rate this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% more than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Scotty Pippen Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Pippen Jr.
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Scotty Pippen Jr. has sunk 52.8% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 18.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing on the road. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Scotty Pippen Jr. has sunk 52.8% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 18.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing on the road. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Desmond Bane has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). Desmond Bane will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production across the board.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Desmond Bane has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). Desmond Bane will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production across the board.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles has converted 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted overall this season. Trey Lyles will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production across the board.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Trey Lyles has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles has converted 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted overall this season. Trey Lyles will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production across the board.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 87th percentile for shots taken at home, totaling 14.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 87th percentile for shots taken at home, totaling 14.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
center C • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Jaren Jackson Jr. stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Jaren Jackson Jr. stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has successfully made 59.9% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Zach Edey rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a phenomenal 50.3% rate this year. Zach Edey has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Zach Edey has successfully made 59.9% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Zach Edey rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a phenomenal 50.3% rate this year. Zach Edey has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Jaylen Wells has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Sacramento Kings are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has made 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Jaylen Wells has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Sacramento Kings are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has made 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Brandon Clarke Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Clarke
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Brandon Clarke has made 5.5 baskets per game over the last 6 games, 2.2 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Brandon Clarke has made 16.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 6 games, 13.9% higher than he's made overall this year. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brandon Clarke

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Brandon Clarke has made 5.5 baskets per game over the last 6 games, 2.2 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Brandon Clarke has made 16.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 6 games, 13.9% higher than he's made overall this year. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 99th percentile for shots from the field sunk, averaging a colossal 9.9 per game this year. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 5.9 threes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 37.3 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 99th percentile for shots from the field sunk, averaging a colossal 9.9 per game this year. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 5.9 threes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 37.3 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-103

Malik Monk has attempted 13.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Malik Monk has attempted 8.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Malik Monk has attempted 13.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Malik Monk has attempted 8.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis has converted 8.2 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when Clarke is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.5 foul shots per game (90th percentile).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Domantas Sabonis has converted 8.2 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when Clarke is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.5 foul shots per game (90th percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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