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Minnesota 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-17
Detroit 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-18

Minnesota @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Ausar Thompson has played a measly 17.6 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 25.2 minutes per game last season. Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (89th percentile). In regard to treys, the Pistons's subpar 33.7% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Ausar Thompson has played a measly 17.6 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 25.2 minutes per game last season. Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (89th percentile). In regard to treys, the Pistons's subpar 33.7% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Minnesota

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Donte DiVincenzo has made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Donte DiVincenzo has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Donte DiVincenzo has made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Donte DiVincenzo has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren places in the 99th percentile for shooting ability with an excellent 69.1% rate this year. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Jalen Duren will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren places in the 99th percentile for shooting ability with an excellent 69.1% rate this year. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Jalen Duren will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

In regard to treys, the Pistons's subpar 33.7% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

In regard to treys, the Pistons's subpar 33.7% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

Tim Hardaway Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-122

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production across the board.

Tim Hardaway

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production across the board.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley lands in the 83rd percentile for shots taken, totaling 13.4 per game this year. Relative to last year's 2.8 clip, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers scored have surged this year to 3.7 per game. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley lands in the 83rd percentile for shots taken, totaling 13.4 per game this year. Relative to last year's 2.8 clip, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers scored have surged this year to 3.7 per game. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has made 51.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Naz Reid has made 51.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Tobias Harris figures to see a spike in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Tobias Harris figures to see a spike in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.2). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.2). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
+107
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
+107
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has played 33.4 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when Duren is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.4 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Rudy Gobert has played 33.4 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when Duren is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.4 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has scored 20.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 89th percentile. Julius Randle has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Julius Randle has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Julius Randle

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Julius Randle has scored 20.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 89th percentile. Julius Randle has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Julius Randle has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-108

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.8 shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. In contrast to last season's 2.5 mark, Anthony Edwards's threes converted have increased this season to 4.0 per game. Anthony Edwards has tallied 36.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.8 shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. In contrast to last season's 2.5 mark, Anthony Edwards's threes converted have increased this season to 4.0 per game. Anthony Edwards has tallied 36.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. Over the last 16 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 19.5 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 27.6% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. Over the last 16 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 19.5 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 27.6% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Wendell Moore Points Scored Props • Detroit

W. Moore
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-111
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-111

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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