LIVE 11:15 1st Jan 5
BOS 0 1.0 o225.0
OKC 0 -1.0 u225.0
CHA 16.5 o223.5
CLE -16.5 u223.5
NO -5.0 o231.5
WAS 5.0 u231.5
UTA 8.5 o209.0
ORL -8.5 u209.0
LAL 4.5 o218.0
HOU -4.5 u218.0
SAC 3.5 o225.0
GS -3.5 u225.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-14
San Antonio 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-17

Denver @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 98th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an excellent 97.6% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Chris Paul

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 98th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an excellent 97.6% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Wembanyama is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (17th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Wembanyama is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (17th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jeremy Sochan has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jeremy Sochan has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 80th percentile for shots at home, totaling 12.4 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 5.6 per game this year. Devin Vassell has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 80th percentile for shots at home, totaling 12.4 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 5.6 per game this year. Devin Vassell has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 91st percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, posting 16.4 per game this year. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 37.5% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, making this a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 91st percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, posting 16.4 per game this year. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 37.5% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, making this a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 68.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 68.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs).

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

When it comes to treys, the Spurs's feeble 30.4% rate of sunk threes with the home court advantage settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

When it comes to treys, the Spurs's feeble 30.4% rate of sunk threes with the home court advantage settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 17th percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 0.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.1 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 17th percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 0.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.1 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-110

Christian Braun has sunk 56.0% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Christian Braun has sunk 56.0% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The matchup against Jeremy Sochan is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against other starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game (10th percentile). Michael Porter Jr. ought to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The matchup against Jeremy Sochan is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against other starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game (10th percentile). Michael Porter Jr. ought to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Victor Wembanyama has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's logged in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Victor Wembanyama has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's logged in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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