Denver @ San Antonio Picks & Props

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 98th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an excellent 97.6% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Wembanyama is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (17th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jeremy Sochan has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 80th percentile for shots at home, totaling 12.4 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 5.6 per game this year. Devin Vassell has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 91st percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, posting 16.4 per game this year. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 37.5% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, making this a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 68.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs).

When it comes to treys, the Spurs's feeble 30.4% rate of sunk threes with the home court advantage settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 17th percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 0.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.1 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.

Christian Braun has sunk 56.0% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs). The Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The matchup against Jeremy Sochan is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against other starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game (10th percentile). Michael Porter Jr. ought to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

Victor Wembanyama has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's logged in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team. The Spurs will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Tre Jones has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Stephon Castle has gone over 7.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Julian Champagnie has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.