LIVE 03:37 4th Jan 7
ATL 110 -5.5 o239.5
UTA 110 5.5 u239.5
LIVE Halftime Jan 7
MIA 61 8.5 o217.0
GS 48 -8.5 u217.0
LIVE Halftime Jan 7
BOS 57 -10.5 o232.0
DEN 57 10.5 u232.0
Final Jan 7
PHO 104 -4.5 o225.5
CHA 115 4.5 u225.5
Final Jan 7
HOU 135 -13.5 o223.5
WAS 112 13.5 u223.5
Final Jan 7
LAL 97 -6.0 o218.0
DAL 118 6.0 u218.0
Final Jan 7
MIN 104 -4.0 o222.0
NO 97 4.0 u222.0
Los Angeles 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-16
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-16

Los Angeles @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency with the home court advantage with a great 71.7% rate this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will likely see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency with the home court advantage with a great 71.7% rate this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will likely see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-118

Quentin Grimes has sunk 55.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Quentin Grimes has sunk 55.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Christie Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+116
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+116
Projection Rating

Max Christie has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's made in all games this year. Max Christie has converted 48.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Max Christie has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Max Christie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Max Christie has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's made in all games this year. Max Christie has converted 48.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Max Christie has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 89.5% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are away from home (4th-most in the NBA).

Naji Marshall

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 89.5% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are away from home (4th-most in the NBA).

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3). The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3). The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-140

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to three-point attempts. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to three-point attempts. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

LeBron James has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production across the board.

LeBron James

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

LeBron James has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production across the board.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers. The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Austin Reaves stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers. The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Austin Reaves stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Anthony Davis has sunk 9.4 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Davis has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

Anthony Davis has sunk 9.4 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Davis has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.0 per game this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 93.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Klay Thompson should see an increase in efficiency for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.0 per game this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 93.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Klay Thompson should see an increase in efficiency for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Rui Hachimura has sunk 50.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Rui Hachimura slots into the 81st percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 39.3% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Rui Hachimura slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Rui Hachimura has sunk 50.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Rui Hachimura slots into the 81st percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 39.3% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Rui Hachimura slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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