LIVE 04:23 3rd Jan 7
MIA 73 8.5 o217.0
GS 67 -8.5 u217.0
LIVE 05:44 3rd Jan 7
BOS 75 -10.5 o232.0
DEN 69 10.5 u232.0
Final Jan 7
PHO 104 -4.5 o225.5
CHA 115 4.5 u225.5
Final Jan 7
HOU 135 -13.5 o223.5
WAS 112 13.5 u223.5
Final Jan 7
LAL 97 -6.0 o218.0
DAL 118 6.0 u218.0
Final Jan 7
MIN 104 -4.0 o222.0
NO 97 4.0 u222.0
Final Jan 7
ATL 124 -5.5 o239.5
UTA 121 5.5 u239.5
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-17
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-17

Miami @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

The rate of three-point shots drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (51.1%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Trayce Jackson-Davis will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The rate of three-point shots drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (51.1%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Trayce Jackson-Davis will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 37.5% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 37.5% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 84th percentile for shots from the field, logging 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.7 minutes per game this year. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 84th percentile for shots from the field, logging 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.7 minutes per game this year. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors).

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield slots into the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 7.0 per game this year. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has sunk 95.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Buddy Hield is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield slots into the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 7.0 per game this year. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has sunk 95.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Buddy Hield is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has sunk 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year without the home court advantage. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Terry Rozier has sunk 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year without the home court advantage. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has converted 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.1 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive performance. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Stephen Curry has converted 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.1 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive performance. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Dennis Schröder Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Schröder
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Dennis Schroder has attempted 5.9 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.6 mark last year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dennis Schroder has sunk 2.5 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dennis Schröder

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Dennis Schroder has attempted 5.9 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.6 mark last year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dennis Schroder has sunk 2.5 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has logged 12.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's logged overall this year. Nikola Jovic has tallied 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Nikola Jovic has logged 12.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's logged overall this year. Nikola Jovic has tallied 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has tallied 23.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile. Tyler Herro has sunk 3.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Tyler Herro has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 6th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.4%).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Tyler Herro has tallied 23.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile. Tyler Herro has sunk 3.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Tyler Herro has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 6th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.4%).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

With respect to treys, the Heat's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Warriors). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 83rd percentile for threes sunk on his home court, putting up 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins places in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 83rd percentile for threes sunk on his home court, putting up 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins places in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 8th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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