GS 2.5 o219.5
DET -2.5 u219.5
TOR 15.5 o236.5
CLE -15.5 u236.5
MIN -5.5 o200.5
ORL 5.5 u200.5
HOU -1.0 o233.5
MEM 1.0 u233.5
POR 7.5 o220.0
DAL -7.5 u220.0
ATL 6.0 o238.5
PHO -6.0 u238.5
MIA -5.5 o222.5
UTA 5.5 u222.5
CHA 8.5 o221.5
LAL -8.5 u221.5
Miami 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE18-17
Utah 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE9-26

Miami @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-128

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's poor 109.1 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Utah Jazz. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's poor 109.1 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Utah Jazz. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this season away from his home court. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Utah is a positive one; when the Utah Jazz are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this season away from his home court. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Utah is a positive one; when the Utah Jazz are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's poor 109.1 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Utah Jazz. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's poor 109.1 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Utah Jazz. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted overall this season. The matchup vs. Utah is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted overall this season. The matchup vs. Utah is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Isaiah Collier Points Scored Props • Utah

I. Collier
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Isaiah Collier has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 47.5% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Isaiah Collier

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Isaiah Collier has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 47.5% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 24.4% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jaime Jaquez Jr. should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 24.4% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jaime Jaquez Jr. should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has successfully made a terrific 74.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly more than his 68.5 rate last season. Walker Kessler has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The matchup with Bam Adebayo places in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs draining an enormous 51.1% of their attempts from downtown this year. The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Walker Kessler

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Walker Kessler has successfully made a terrific 74.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly more than his 68.5 rate last season. Walker Kessler has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The matchup with Bam Adebayo places in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs draining an enormous 51.1% of their attempts from downtown this year. The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 84th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Walker Kessler is a strong one; he has allowed an enormous 22.1 points per game when playing at home when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 84th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Walker Kessler is a strong one; he has allowed an enormous 22.1 points per game when playing at home when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Johnny Juzang Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Juzang
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Johnny Juzang has converted 46.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Johnny Juzang has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Johnny Juzang

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Johnny Juzang has converted 46.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Johnny Juzang has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has converted 3.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Tyler Herro has converted 3.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 14.1 successful threes per game rates 9th-best in the NBA this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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