OKC -12.5 o217.5
PHI 12.5 u217.5
CLE -8.5 o232.0
IND 8.5 u232.0
PHO -3.0 o236.0
ATL 3.0 u236.0
SAC 2.0 o227.5
MIL -2.0 u227.5
NO 1.5 o241.0
CHI -1.5 u241.0
DEN -3.5 o234.0
DAL 3.5 u234.0
BK 4.5 o218.5
POR -4.5 u218.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE23-15
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-17

Denver @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, putting up 7.7 per game this year. Klay Thompson has sunk 93.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Nuggets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA). Klay Thompson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production for all stats.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, putting up 7.7 per game this year. Klay Thompson has sunk 93.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Nuggets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA). Klay Thompson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production for all stats.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played overall this season. Peyton Watson has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Peyton Watson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played overall this season. Peyton Watson has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8). Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 84th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a massive 3.5 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8). Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 84th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a massive 3.5 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has sunk 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Russell Westbrook has sunk 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has converted 38.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Naji Marshall has made 98.2% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on the road (10th-most in the league). Naji Marshall should see a rise in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Naji Marshall has converted 38.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Naji Marshall has made 98.2% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on the road (10th-most in the league). Naji Marshall should see a rise in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has registered a whopping 31.2 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 26.7 points per game last year. In comparison to last year's 1.1 rate, Nikola Jokic's threes converted have jumped this year to 2.2 per game. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The showdown with Dereck Lively II when it comes to getting to the charity stripe rates in just the 90th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Nikola Jokic has registered a whopping 31.2 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 26.7 points per game last year. In comparison to last year's 1.1 rate, Nikola Jokic's threes converted have jumped this year to 2.2 per game. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The showdown with Dereck Lively II when it comes to getting to the charity stripe rates in just the 90th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made 48.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. Christian Braun has successfully made a whopping 2.1 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 mark last season. Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Christian Braun

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Christian Braun has made 48.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. Christian Braun has successfully made a whopping 2.1 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 mark last season. Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic