Denver 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE36-19
Dallas 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE30-26

Denver @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, putting up 7.7 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 93.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, putting up 7.7 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 93.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played overall this season. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Peyton Watson has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Peyton Watson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played overall this season. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Peyton Watson has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 15.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has converted 52.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 17.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

P.J. Washington has attempted 15.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has converted 52.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 17.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Mavericks have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

The Mavericks have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has converted 38.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 98.2% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Naji Marshall has converted 38.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 98.2% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has sunk 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Russell Westbrook has sunk 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has put up 13.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 more than he's put up in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Spencer Dinwiddie has put up 13.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 more than he's put up in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has registered a whopping 31.2 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 26.7 points per game last year. In comparison to last year's 1.1 rate, Nikola Jokic's threes converted have jumped this year to 2.2 per game. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Nikola Jokic has registered a whopping 31.2 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 26.7 points per game last year. In comparison to last year's 1.1 rate, Nikola Jokic's threes converted have jumped this year to 2.2 per game. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made 48.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Christian Braun has made 48.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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