ORL 13.0 o211.0
BOS -13.0 u211.0
MIN 4.5 o218.0
NY -4.5 u218.0
CHA 4.5 o235.0
CHI -4.5 u235.0
DEN 1.5 o226.0
MIA -1.5 u226.0
UTA 11.5 o230.5
NO -11.5 u230.5
TOR 11.0 o230.5
MIL -11.0 u230.5
OKC -8.5 o224.5
DAL 8.5 u224.5
MEM -2.0 o239.0
SA 2.0 u239.0
BK 11.0 o217.0
LAL -11.0 u217.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE34-6
Dallas 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-19

Oklahoma City @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has converted 62.4% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Jaylin Williams is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Williams is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have totaled a colossal 1.2 three-pointers per game (93rd percentile). The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Daniel Gafford has converted 62.4% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Jaylin Williams is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Williams is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have totaled a colossal 1.2 three-pointers per game (93rd percentile). The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.7
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.7

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Jaylin Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jaylin Williams has made 44.4% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Daniel Gafford has been quite high (3.4 free throw attempts per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).

Jaylin Williams

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Jaylin Williams has made 44.4% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Daniel Gafford has been quite high (3.4 free throw attempts per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naji Marshall rates in the 16th percentile for three-point ability with a feeble 23.6% rate this year. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Naji Marshall

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Naji Marshall rates in the 16th percentile for three-point ability with a feeble 23.6% rate this year. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots, posting 16.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots, posting 16.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has made 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Cason Wallace has converted 46.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 11.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Cason Wallace has made 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Cason Wallace has converted 46.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 11.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has successfully made 42.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% more than he's made overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

P.J. Washington has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has successfully made 42.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% more than he's made overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson measures in the 93rd percentile for three-point attempts playing at home, averaging 7.6 per game this year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson slots into the 96th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a remarkable 93.9% rate this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson measures in the 93rd percentile for three-point attempts playing at home, averaging 7.6 per game this year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson slots into the 96th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a remarkable 93.9% rate this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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