Oklahoma City @ Dallas Picks & Props

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 38.4% of his shot attempts from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a challenging matchup. The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Cason Wallace has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league). Cason Wallace will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 71.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home. Aaron Wiggins has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Naji Marshall has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Naji Marshall will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson measures in the 93rd percentile for three-point attempts playing at home, averaging 7.6 per game this year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson slots into the 96th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a remarkable 93.9% rate this year.

Daniel Gafford has converted 62.4% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Jaylin Williams is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Williams is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have totaled a colossal 1.2 three-pointers per game (93rd percentile). The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Jaylin Williams has made 44.4% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Daniel Gafford has been quite high (3.4 free throw attempts per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots, posting 16.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

P.J. Washington has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has successfully made 42.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% more than he's made overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 31.3 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game away from home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Quentin Grimes has sunk 50.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.0% more than he's made over the course of the season at home. Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Quentin Grimes has averaged 27.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Alex Caruso has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jaden Hardy has gone over 8.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.