Final Jan 25
IND 136 -2.5 o229.5
SA 98 2.5 u229.5
Final Jan 25
DEN 104 -3.5 o230.0
MIN 133 3.5 u230.0
Final Jan 25
BOS 122 -9.0 o226.5
DAL 107 9.0 u226.5
Final Jan 25
MIA 106 -7.0 o210.5
BK 97 7.0 u210.5
Final Jan 25
DET 113 3.5 o209.0
ORL 121 -3.5 u209.0
Final Jan 25
NO 92 -1.5 o230.5
CHA 123 1.5 u230.5
Final Jan 25
TOR 117 6.0 o232.5
ATL 94 -6.0 u232.5
Final Jan 25
SAC 120 5.0 o234.0
NY 143 -5.0 u234.0
Final Jan 25
HOU 135 4.5 o231.0
CLE 131 -4.5 u231.0
Final Jan 25
PHI 109 3.5 o231.0
CHI 97 -3.5 u231.0
Final Jan 25
UTA 103 11.0 o247.0
MEM 125 -11.0 u247.0
Final Jan 25
LAL 118 -1.0 o220.5
GS 108 1.0 u220.5
Final Jan 25
WAS 109 14.0 o233.5
PHO 119 -14.0 u233.5
Final Jan 25
MIL 117 3.5 o226.5
LAC 127 -3.5 u226.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE28-17
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE24-21

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-159
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-159
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Christian Braun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Christian Braun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 67.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 68.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 25.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 67.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 68.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 25.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 57.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year on the road. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 53.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 57.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year on the road. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 53.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.9 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for three-pointers made without the home court advantage, putting up 2.3 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.9 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for three-pointers made without the home court advantage, putting up 2.3 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Jamal Murray has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made an impressive 38.6% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 rate last year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Aaron Gordon has successfully made an impressive 38.6% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 rate last year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards rates in the 97th percentile for shots from the field playing at home, registering 19.5 per game this year. Anthony Edwards has attempted 9.8 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.8 mark last season. Anthony Edwards has averaged 36.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards rates in the 97th percentile for shots from the field playing at home, registering 19.5 per game this year. Anthony Edwards has attempted 9.8 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.8 mark last season. Anthony Edwards has averaged 36.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has totaled 18.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 88th percentile. Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Julius Randle has totaled 18.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 88th percentile. Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league). Mike Conley will likely see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league). Mike Conley will likely see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has compiled 19.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. Naz Reid has sunk 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid is expected to get a boost in productivity across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Naz Reid has compiled 19.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. Naz Reid has sunk 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid is expected to get a boost in productivity across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 77.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 5.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has successfully made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 77.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 5.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has successfully made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 100th percentile, averaging a colossal 30.2 points per game this year. Relative to last year's 1.1 mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-point shots drained have increased this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.9

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 100th percentile, averaging a colossal 30.2 points per game this year. Relative to last year's 1.1 mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-point shots drained have increased this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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