Orlando @ Miami props

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when Carter Jr. is playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 8.8 shots made from the field per game (10th percentile). The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Magic). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero lands in the 96th percentile, putting up a colossal 24.5 points per game this year. Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Paolo Banchero has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.7% more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Franz Wagner has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile). The Orlando Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Magic. The Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Franz Wagner will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this contest.

Jalen Suggs has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 17th percentile for 3-point performance with a subpar 24.4% rate this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have put up 15.1 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a tough matchup for offensive performance. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Magic). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown. Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's converted overall this season on his home court. Tyler Herro should see an increase in performance across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Duncan Robinson has made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this season with the home court advantage. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (20.2). Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 50.0% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage. Jimmy Butler has tallied 30.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 0.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (18.9).