Los Angeles @ Chicago props

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume. D.J. Moore's 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 76.9. The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board. Since the start of last season, the tough Rams defense has allowed a measly 57.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average). The Chicago Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.4 per game) since the start of last season. In this game, Demarcus Robinson is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.9 targets. While Demarcus Robinson has garnered 14.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this game at 20.0%.

The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.9% to 67.8%. The Bears safeties project as the 10th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.7 offensive plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Bears have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.3 plays per game. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 55.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs. With a stellar 2.4 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the top pass-catching RBs in the league. The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.3 offensive plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Bears have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.3 plays per game. Roschon Johnson has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs. Roschon Johnson grades out as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 2.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 78th percentile. The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.7 per game on average). The Chicago Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.4 per game) since the start of last season. Kyren Williams has run a route on 67.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs. Kyren Williams checks in as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.3 offensive plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The Bears have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.3 plays per game. This week, Cole Kmet is expected by the projections to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.3 targets. Cole Kmet is positioned as one of the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile. Cole Kmet's 90.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a significant boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 83.1% figure.