PIT -3.5 o37.0
CLE 3.5 u37.0
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.0 o46.5
MIA -7.0 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -5.0 o40.5
LV 5.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o50.0
LAC 3.0 u50.0
Detroit 1st NFC North9-1
Indianapolis 2nd AFC South5-6

Detroit @ Indianapolis props

Lucas Oil Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points. The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points. The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Josh Downs Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

J. Downs
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This game's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are heavy -7.5-point underdogs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year. Josh Downs's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 5.6 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.0 last season.

Josh Downs

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

This game's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are heavy -7.5-point underdogs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year. Josh Downs's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 5.6 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.0 last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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