statsman49

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to WEEK 10 - NFL Breakdown Sheets in Website Promotions View Post \| View Thread	si1ly	199	November 07, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting Vick Got abit lucky with the late cover but you take it ! Week 9 Spreads 4-0 +5 units QB Props 5-4 +0.6 units +5.6 units View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 07, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting Ryan 4-4 on QBs to loose 0.4 units 4-0 sides to win 5 units Pending Vick over 267.5 Then on to week 10 View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 05, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Sunday... in NFL Betting Great day , gotta love those Chicago boys !! View Post \| View Thread	phat03	96	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting Manning Big Ben Palmer Pending ... Matt Ryan under 285.5 MNF Vick over 267.5 Day +5.8 units View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sunday Afternoon - NFL in NFL Betting Well explained above, to get a perfect hedge to collect the same amount regardless you want to bed the amount of money on the other side of the last game to collect what the parlay collects if u hit the last leg of the parlay.. Ideally the last leg is a short favorite so u don't need to place much on the dog to hedge .. If last leg is a dog you need to place a substantial amount usually on the favorite to hedge so you might not end up with much profits .. Example I had 10$ today on Detroit Chicago Houston Denver all ate lines in a parlay into last leg Tampa money line to win 290.. I could have 155 on Oakland -120 so in total I have Outland 165 and I am guaranteed to collect 290 meaning a profit of 290-10-155 = 125 ... Personally chose not to hedge as I think if you want to hedge I should have had the 4 leg multi and collected the 135 from 10 had I only parlayed the 4 spreads.. Hope that helps View Post \| View Thread	si1ly	222	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting Houston -10 1 unit Chicago -3.5 1 unit Denver -3.5 2 units Detroit -4 1 unit 4/4 morning but 5 units on spreads, definitely my best day yet, had a parlay action on them also but not posted wont count to record Quarter backs - mixed morning down 0.2 units Luck Rogers Flack SCAM newton Bit disappointed burning money on two out of form QBs, 4 QB plays pending to end out a good Sunday thus far.. Hope everyone is enjoying a good day pounding th books View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sunday Afternoon - NFL in NFL Betting Nie morning of faves went with Houston -10 and Detroit -4 as well as Denver and Chicago 4-0 .. Last leg of those into Tampa for a five leg parlay 0.2 units to win 6, go bucs!! View Post \| View Thread	si1ly	222	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sunday Afternoon - NFL in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by FPC: Please tell us where we can wager Denver -3.5, -105? He locked in that play on Tuesday or wednesday from memory, it is posted in his thread NFL week 9 Breakdown sheets on the first page or two View Post \| View Thread	si1ly	222	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Sunday... in NFL Betting good record, with you on the chicago got the -3.5 +105 a few days back at the top of the market, GO BEARS!!! View Post \| View Thread	phat03	96	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - 2 plays w/write-ups in NFL Betting Like this plays this week good luck View Post \| View Thread	Timmy_the_Greek	5	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting Favourite time of the week are the QB Props.. dont have time to give a right up to each but i have flat wagered on all of them to win 1 unit... depends on your book but you should find similiar lines around Eli Manning under 285.5 Ben Roethesberger Over 270.5 Matt Ryan under 285.5 Cam Newton over 267.5 Aaron Rogers under 285.5 Andrew Luck over 267.5 Joe Flaco over 248.5 Carson Palmer over 280.5 Michael Vick over 267.5 All (-110) BOL View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 04, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to *NFL WEEK 9 PLAYS* in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by shivaseven: Quote Originally Posted by James_Dean: Giants are also 0-4 ATS and 1-3 SU in their last 4 games right after playing the Cowboys. [/Quote I don't have those numbers. I've got ATS 1-3 and SUP 2-2 but with the ATS numbers it all comes down to the closing number. You are ridiculous looking for trends on a sample size of 4 games if any of you knew something about statistics you should know you need a much bigger sample size than 4!! And the majority of 'trends' people post are based on 'after the event ' ... Try identifying one of these trends early and following it and having a solid record.. Noone posts about a trend that is 4-0 ATS and goes 10-0 ..people find trends that by chance have a great record and then think it will continue.. Do u think the Giants care that they played the cowgirls last week and now it means they 'can't' win by 4+ this week .. If Pitt cover this week it won't be because of that View Post \| View Thread	PrimeTimeBoys	214	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New System That Is Undefeated in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by Misteregg: Hi there igetmoney I was wondering if you can help me out I lIke parlaying 6 to 8 teams when I bet but I always lose 1or 2 team can you help me out with a 6 or 8 teams parlay this week Thank you I love this comment I always loose 1 or 2 so u pick at 75-85% easily .. Follow his system plays if u r on this thread he isn't gonna give u 8 winning picks that wins you your fantasy thousands View Post \| View Thread	IgetMoney101	662	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 9 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by glyde69: Just had a post regarding the Giant game(saw u were close to pulling the trigger) and lost it. The short version...... - saw interview with Cruz - he said he hasn't done a thing all week except spend it with family. - assumed the rest of the team did the same. - brought up the hurricane I've lived through and my assumption many home team players are living through the same( family and homes). - thought that was a good reason to stay away from NY. - Pitt couldn't get hotel rooms for teams because of storm. - because of that, are flying into NY early Sunday morning. - 1 hour flight not the end of the world, but u know players and their game day rituals. - rambled about that point and made a terrible analogy comparing NFL foofball to the beer league softball team I play for and went into painstaking detail about "my" game day ritual and how for our last game I didn't go about my ritual like I normally do and how it led to just an awful night for me. Bottom line: probably not the best game on the card to wager on with all the Hurricane Sandy intangibles. Well put.. While u could make an intangibles case to wager on either of these teams , I don't think anyone can realistically judge who the situation will impact more until o see who turns up once e games has kicked off, probably a good game to sit and enjoy without having your cash on the line.. Anyway if people wager BOL View Post \| View Thread	andarmac99	56	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 9 in NFL Betting Good read , probably siding with you on Dallas if they can cut the turnovers out they will be in this with a good chance to win outright .. Agree that tenn are garbage and took the bears counting on a better offensive performance and the usual solid defense .. BOL this weekend View Post \| View Thread	andarmac99	56	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 9 Card in NFL Betting On the opposite side this week on most plays but BOL at least one of us will win ... The Denver line does seem easy but I guess sometimes you have to go with the team playing hot with a great QB in fine form leading them against a team struggling to get their offense moving the ball , but hey this is the NFL , anything can happen right ! View Post \| View Thread	Skipster	27	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New System That Is Undefeated in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by Mr_MiyagiTEC: you really know how to cap .....nice job if you dont mind adding me to yyour friends list Posting 2/3 winning picks about an unproven system that seems to look at games getting played earlier in the day to predict the outcome of later games isn't "capping" But if it works it works best of luck to u hope the streak continues View Post \| View Thread	IgetMoney101	662	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 9 - NFL Breakdown Sheets in Website Promotions Quote Originally Posted by ELITE-110: Bengals 1,000,000 Clown don't need you posting this garbage in one of the few threads in here that people discuss football View Post \| View Thread	si1ly	282	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 - Lines with plays to follow in NFL Betting For interest I'll post my power rankings of teams against their opponent in my plays Buffalo @ Houston ... #31@#3 chicago @ Tennessee ... #4@#26 Detroit @ jags ... #17@#30 Denver @ cincy ... #6@#25 I am not entirely happy with my rankings at this stage as I haven't adjusted the statistics for the strength of opposition I aim to do these adjustments I the next week at work and am excited to see my final findings.. Anyway I will use the data I have at the moment .. Stats that my rankings are based on are on the offensive and defensive side are Total yards Yards/pass Yards/rush Pass completion #first downs Third down conversion % Turnovers Cover my losses Billyweather View Post \| View Thread	statsman49	15	November 03, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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