Triceratops

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Play any Trout prop you can find....... in MLB Betting his next hit is also number 1000 View Post \| View Thread	BIGDTITLE	26	August 07, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic IF NFL is rigged then.... in NFL Betting Cowboys win superbowl with Romo as qb. No other storyline this year could come remotely close to the amount of coverage a qb change to Romo would bring and then a Romo superbowl win. Call it the Goodell double dip. View Post \| View Thread	Triceratops	25	December 14, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Lions = OVERRATED in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags: vastly? In the absence of a better metric, I am sticking with it, it has served me well this season. Out of curiosity I went to ESPN and gathered some more straight forward stats for you, for comparison: Offense (yards) (1) 4775 Saints \| Pass (1) \| Rush (9) (27) 3625 Detroit \| Pass (17) \| Rush (30) Defense (yards) (15) 3888 Detroit \| Pass (14) \| Rush (16) (25) 4075 Saints \| Pass (27) \| Rush (12) Differentials (yards) +700 Saints -263 Detroit ===== +963 Saints / 11 games = +87.5 more yards per game -------------------- 1 Common Opponent 21 LAR @ NOS 49 28 LAR @ DET 31 Saints scored +18 points and gave up 7 less points, +25 point differential compared to Lions -------------------- Saints score 30.4 points/game Saints give up 27.9 points/game +2.5 points/game Lions score 22.5 points/game Lions give up 21.6 points/game +0.9 points/game Strength of Schedule: Lions have not played a single team w/ more than 6 wins (11 games into the season, barely .500 opponents ALL SEASON) Saints have played two teams w/ 7 wins, beating 20 SEA @ NOS 25 , 2 teams w/ 8 wins and 1 team w/ 9 wins Given the extremely more difficult SOS 5 teams well above .500 over 11 games, it amplifies their per game point differential compared to Detroit even more so. Most of the stats are completely meaningless in regards to this game. Who cares how many yards the offense and defense have? Two different teams that play different brands of football that have both dealt with various injuries to key defensive players. We all know both qbs can light it up. Your common opponent actually isn't common at all. Lions played a Keenum led Rams team when the defense was in the gutter. Saints played a rookie thats been unfit to start over Keenum all year and an axe to grind with Gregg Williams...they ran up the score on purpose. Lions have been without a true rb all year, Ebron has been out several weeks, riddick was out a few weeks and banged up others, Marvin has been shadowed by elite corners since early season. Lions are the healthiest they have been all year and the defense has been much better In conclusion, I think all these stats you are basing this play off are worthless. Im not betting this game but Id take lions if I were, I think it will come down to the wire View Post \| View Thread	Nycgags	30	December 01, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Lions = OVERRATED in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags: OK...it sounds like people are way over-valuing their record and assume just because they have a better record they are better than everyone else in their division. Here's their weekly DVOA ranking this season (below link). Ever since week 4 they have been play at the bottom 25% of teams in the league. https://i.sli.mg/nn6qmU.png According to last week's DVOA Lions are playing at a level as worst team in their division, yes even worse than the Bears: (16) MIN (18) GBP (24) CHI (25) DET Maybe you are vastly over rating the usefullness of DVOA? View Post \| View Thread	Nycgags	30	November 30, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Today 1 baseball play for Large TB Rays versus Toronto in MLB Betting If you go by meaningless era sure happ has been great his last 20 starts or so. Good thing we have the rest of his career to know he is no where close to being a 2.00 era pitcher. View Post \| View Thread	Gavinnick	19	May 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tuesday 4/12 - pod in MLB Betting What exactly is it you like about a guy that can't strike out lefties with a 4.69 drip vs lefties playing the Yankees who will likely have 7 lefties in the lineup? View Post \| View Thread	Damon102	14	April 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Broncos should roll over packers this week in NFL Betting Lacy is fat and out of shape and has bad asthma. He's going to look fatter and more out of breath than usual in Denver View Post \| View Thread	footballsmart	13	October 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seriously Phixer? in NFL Betting this definitely needed its own thread, I mean why would you want to post a comment about phixer in his thread instead of make a new one? View Post \| View Thread	rakets	2	October 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Dear Phixer...... in Penalty Box No one cares about you bro stop looking for attention View Post \| View Thread	irage	15	September 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to And Now You Bang the Niners in NFL Betting Last year Rodgers had a 25:0 td:int ratio at home and 13:5 on the road. He's not invincible on the road. They have 2 healthy receivers and one was signed off the street a few weeks ago. Lacy is banged up and will continue to see 60-70% snaps on a short week. Short week, west coast, and a mobile qb they have always struggled against greenbay has shown they can be ran on by rb and qb. San Fran will recommit to Hyde this week after kaps performance and probably have him throwing high percentage throws when he does throw. This game will not be a blowout View Post \| View Thread	JFen31	75	September 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Bills @ Dolphins in NFL Betting Earthwake said they would be in trouble if Albert on the OL doesnt play. He has already been ruled out and protects his blindside. View Post \| View Thread	Polar_Bear	31	September 25, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to If you love situational spots, you gotta like KC. in NFL Betting Look aheads are for scrub teams that know they arent making the playoffs and find other reasons to get motivated some weeks. The best teams in the league dont play look ahead games, they go full speed ahead all 16 games, especially week 3. Chiefs secondary has been carved up by Ryan Mallet and Noodle arm Manning so far, what do you think Rodgers is going to do to it? Chiefs definitely aren't winning this game but if they can get the ground game going and grind out a few 8+ minute drives they may very well cover the 7. View Post \| View Thread	begginerboy	55	September 25, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why Green Bay needs to win Sunday Night.... in NFL Betting Would actually make sense to let injured Cobb keep Sherman distracted all game and let Adam and jones line up other side View Post \| View Thread	LETGOPACK1234	6	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why Green Bay needs to win Sunday Night.... in NFL Betting is Sherman supposed to come off his island and and shadow certain guys this year? Don't think he's ever moved from his side of field, he locks onto whoever lines up on his side View Post \| View Thread	LETGOPACK1234	6	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why did the Pirates line go from -130 to -118 in MLB Betting Liriano has been pretty bad lately and even worse historically vs cincy. Iglesis appears to be the real deal holding righties to an insane .156 avg and 36% k rate vs them yet Pitt loads up 7 right handed bats View Post \| View Thread	Tomkopec	6	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Jungmann vs. Miami in MLB Betting covers noobs all like square side of fishy line hmmmm....... View Post \| View Thread	Educated_Idiot	8	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Pirates in MLB Betting Why? Iglesis had been one of the best pitchers in the league the last 2 months. Liriano has been garbage and had a bad history vs cincy and at great American View Post \| View Thread	GamblingDivorce	14	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I know baseball press is a good website for seeing the starting lineups SO... in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by getem474: is there a good website for College Football? \ There arent starting lineups in football, just depth charts View Post \| View Thread	getem474	3	September 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How do u think Vegas gets richer? in Penalty Box Vegas controls where the ball goes through a tiny magnet in the core of the ball and using a magnetic field that Vegas has installed at every stadium. Ever notice Tulo take a huge rip and hit a little dinker back to the pitcher?.....magnets Pitchers velocity falling off all of a sudden... Magnets Ever notice you can spell Vegas with the word magnets by cutting the m in half and flipping it over, removing the g,n,t and rearranging the rest to spell Vegas? View Post \| View Thread	BreakDBookie	63	September 01, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How do u think Vegas gets richer? in Penalty Box Yea I don't know why people think managers are talking to the bullpen when they get in the phone in the dugout. Sometimes maybe but 9 out of 10 times its Vegas calling and telling him exactly what to do rest of game. View Post \| View Thread	BreakDBookie	63	September 01, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Play any Trout prop you can find....... in MLB Betting his next hit is also number 1000 View Post \| View Thread	BIGDTITLE	26	August 07, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic IF NFL is rigged then.... in NFL Betting Cowboys win superbowl with Romo as qb. No other storyline this year could come remotely close to the amount of coverage a qb change to Romo would bring and then a Romo superbowl win. Call it the Goodell double dip. View Post \| View Thread	Triceratops	25	December 14, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Lions = OVERRATED in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags: vastly? In the absence of a better metric, I am sticking with it, it has served me well this season. Out of curiosity I went to ESPN and gathered some more straight forward stats for you, for comparison: Offense (yards) (1) 4775 Saints \| Pass (1) \| Rush (9) (27) 3625 Detroit \| Pass (17) \| Rush (30) Defense (yards) (15) 3888 Detroit \| Pass (14) \| Rush (16) (25) 4075 Saints \| Pass (27) \| Rush (12) Differentials (yards) +700 Saints -263 Detroit ===== +963 Saints / 11 games = +87.5 more yards per game -------------------- 1 Common Opponent 21 LAR @ NOS 49 28 LAR @ DET 31 Saints scored +18 points and gave up 7 less points, +25 point differential compared to Lions -------------------- Saints score 30.4 points/game Saints give up 27.9 points/game +2.5 points/game Lions score 22.5 points/game Lions give up 21.6 points/game +0.9 points/game Strength of Schedule: Lions have not played a single team w/ more than 6 wins (11 games into the season, barely .500 opponents ALL SEASON) Saints have played two teams w/ 7 wins, beating 20 SEA @ NOS 25 , 2 teams w/ 8 wins and 1 team w/ 9 wins Given the extremely more difficult SOS 5 teams well above .500 over 11 games, it amplifies their per game point differential compared to Detroit even more so. Most of the stats are completely meaningless in regards to this game. Who cares how many yards the offense and defense have? Two different teams that play different brands of football that have both dealt with various injuries to key defensive players. We all know both qbs can light it up. Your common opponent actually isn't common at all. Lions played a Keenum led Rams team when the defense was in the gutter. Saints played a rookie thats been unfit to start over Keenum all year and an axe to grind with Gregg Williams...they ran up the score on purpose. Lions have been without a true rb all year, Ebron has been out several weeks, riddick was out a few weeks and banged up others, Marvin has been shadowed by elite corners since early season. Lions are the healthiest they have been all year and the defense has been much better In conclusion, I think all these stats you are basing this play off are worthless. Im not betting this game but Id take lions if I were, I think it will come down to the wire View Post \| View Thread	Nycgags	30	December 01, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Lions = OVERRATED in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags: OK...it sounds like people are way over-valuing their record and assume just because they have a better record they are better than everyone else in their division. Here's their weekly DVOA ranking this season (below link). Ever since week 4 they have been play at the bottom 25% of teams in the league. https://i.sli.mg/nn6qmU.png According to last week's DVOA Lions are playing at a level as worst team in their division, yes even worse than the Bears: (16) MIN (18) GBP (24) CHI (25) DET Maybe you are vastly over rating the usefullness of DVOA? View Post \| View Thread	Nycgags	30	November 30, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Today 1 baseball play for Large TB Rays versus Toronto in MLB Betting If you go by meaningless era sure happ has been great his last 20 starts or so. Good thing we have the rest of his career to know he is no where close to being a 2.00 era pitcher. View Post \| View Thread	Gavinnick	19	May 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tuesday 4/12 - pod in MLB Betting What exactly is it you like about a guy that can't strike out lefties with a 4.69 drip vs lefties playing the Yankees who will likely have 7 lefties in the lineup? View Post \| View Thread	Damon102	14	April 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Broncos should roll over packers this week in NFL Betting Lacy is fat and out of shape and has bad asthma. He's going to look fatter and more out of breath than usual in Denver View Post \| View Thread	footballsmart	13	October 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seriously Phixer? in NFL Betting this definitely needed its own thread, I mean why would you want to post a comment about phixer in his thread instead of make a new one? View Post \| View Thread	rakets	2	October 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Dear Phixer...... in Penalty Box No one cares about you bro stop looking for attention View Post \| View Thread	irage	15	September 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to And Now You Bang the Niners in NFL Betting Last year Rodgers had a 25:0 td:int ratio at home and 13:5 on the road. He's not invincible on the road. They have 2 healthy receivers and one was signed off the street a few weeks ago. Lacy is banged up and will continue to see 60-70% snaps on a short week. Short week, west coast, and a mobile qb they have always struggled against greenbay has shown they can be ran on by rb and qb. San Fran will recommit to Hyde this week after kaps performance and probably have him throwing high percentage throws when he does throw. This game will not be a blowout View Post \| View Thread	JFen31	75	September 29, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Bills @ Dolphins in NFL Betting Earthwake said they would be in trouble if Albert on the OL doesnt play. He has already been ruled out and protects his blindside. View Post \| View Thread	Polar_Bear	31	September 25, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to If you love situational spots, you gotta like KC. in NFL Betting Look aheads are for scrub teams that know they arent making the playoffs and find other reasons to get motivated some weeks. The best teams in the league dont play look ahead games, they go full speed ahead all 16 games, especially week 3. Chiefs secondary has been carved up by Ryan Mallet and Noodle arm Manning so far, what do you think Rodgers is going to do to it? Chiefs definitely aren't winning this game but if they can get the ground game going and grind out a few 8+ minute drives they may very well cover the 7. View Post \| View Thread	begginerboy	55	September 25, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why Green Bay needs to win Sunday Night.... in NFL Betting Would actually make sense to let injured Cobb keep Sherman distracted all game and let Adam and jones line up other side View Post \| View Thread	LETGOPACK1234	6	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why Green Bay needs to win Sunday Night.... in NFL Betting is Sherman supposed to come off his island and and shadow certain guys this year? Don't think he's ever moved from his side of field, he locks onto whoever lines up on his side View Post \| View Thread	LETGOPACK1234	6	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why did the Pirates line go from -130 to -118 in MLB Betting Liriano has been pretty bad lately and even worse historically vs cincy. Iglesis appears to be the real deal holding righties to an insane .156 avg and 36% k rate vs them yet Pitt loads up 7 right handed bats View Post \| View Thread	Tomkopec	6	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Jungmann vs. Miami in MLB Betting covers noobs all like square side of fishy line hmmmm....... View Post \| View Thread	Educated_Idiot	8	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Pirates in MLB Betting Why? Iglesis had been one of the best pitchers in the league the last 2 months. Liriano has been garbage and had a bad history vs cincy and at great American View Post \| View Thread	GamblingDivorce	14	September 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I know baseball press is a good website for seeing the starting lineups SO... in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by getem474: is there a good website for College Football? \ There arent starting lineups in football, just depth charts View Post \| View Thread	getem474	3	September 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How do u think Vegas gets richer? in Penalty Box Vegas controls where the ball goes through a tiny magnet in the core of the ball and using a magnetic field that Vegas has installed at every stadium. Ever notice Tulo take a huge rip and hit a little dinker back to the pitcher?.....magnets Pitchers velocity falling off all of a sudden... Magnets Ever notice you can spell Vegas with the word magnets by cutting the m in half and flipping it over, removing the g,n,t and rearranging the rest to spell Vegas? View Post \| View Thread	BreakDBookie	63	September 01, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How do u think Vegas gets richer? in Penalty Box Yea I don't know why people think managers are talking to the bullpen when they get in the phone in the dugout. Sometimes maybe but 9 out of 10 times its Vegas calling and telling him exactly what to do rest of game. View Post \| View Thread	BreakDBookie	63	September 01, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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