worthashot

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replied to NO FANS, NO CONCESSIONS, NO PARKING REVENUES.......... in NFL Betting Ah, c'mon. You know the answer to that one. They get together a few days before the game, figure out a plausible script and who will cover, then they bet accordingly. Same as us. View Post \| View Thread	jpot34	11	October 12, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How many positions are the Chiefs better than the 49ers? in NFL Betting When I log onto Covers this is the type of post I am looking for: good, in-depth analyses and legitimate points, not a bunch of useless sniping and garbage about "scripted" games and crooked refs, etc. Nice Post indeed! View Post \| View Thread	andarmac99	210	January 21, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Conference Game Day Scattershooting... in NFL Betting [Quote: Originally Posted by smacksmiter] This fascinates me... Aaron Rodgers last 5 playoff losses ALL came to teams he LOST to in the regular season...... - 2016 NFC Championship at Atlanta - 2015 NFC Divisional at Arizona - 2014 NFC Championship at Seattle - 2013 NFC Wild Card vs SF - 2012 NFC Divisional at SF Of course, he lost to the 49ers this year 37-8 in week 12... Let's throw a bit more fuel on the bonfire for Rodgers... How does he do vs #1 pass defenses...including playoffs?... 1-4 overall... 0-4 on the road... 4 TDs...4 interceptions... 72.2 QB rating... Oh my...guess who has the #1 rated pass defense in the NFL this year?.............. That's right...your San Francisco 49ers... I'm just going from years of memory here, but a good rating in pass defense is often registered by poor teams, the opposition not needing to pass to beat them and running out the clock with big leads. All the more credit to this year's Niner bunch. View Post \| View Thread	smacksmiter	75	January 19, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic San Fran/Green Bay (forget week 12 but take Niners) in NFL Betting Rodgers and the Pack will be a different team this time but I"m not sure it will matter. A more relevant game is last week's demolition of the Vikings. The 27-10 score is misleading, Vikings were totally dominated. Now Cousins is not Rodgers and the Viking offense is not on a par with the Pack, but if the 49er defense plays anywhere close to last week, the Pack will require a 2-3 plus in turnovers to have a chance. Could happen and 7.5 is too many points, but I'll take the Niners for a little. They just look too tough on defense. Will be rooting for the Chiefs, but have a little on the Titans. That way I will win at least one way and maybe two. First post of the year. Just too much trouble and this site ain't what; it used to be. View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 19, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Never in my life in NFL Betting Good point View Post \| View Thread	HabsHater88	9	January 13, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Never in my life in NFL Betting That's what the "script" called for, don'cha know? View Post \| View Thread	HabsHater88	9	January 13, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL PLAYOFF FACT in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by RIZIN_MMA: Wow.... Only 2 teams have won multiple games in the same postseason with fewer than 100 yards passing. The Dolphins (72, 73) and Steelers (74)....ALL won the Super Bowl. This postseason the Titans passed for 71 yards last week's win over the Patriots and have 83 yards tonight vs Ravens.....wow, very interesting stat! I guess the "torch" has been passed on from Bellichick to Vrabel. Also, since this year's SB is being held in Miami, it would be bittersweet for Tannehill to get his first SB ring where he started his pro career. I might have to jump on this bandwagon because my predictions are off. Big props to Train69 for that 50-1 future bet. I think you can delete "bitter" from "bittersweet." View Post \| View Thread	RIZIN_MMA	4	January 12, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The Sleeping Giant that is the Tennessee Titans in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: You do realize that as putrid as the Pats were on offense they had more yards and more yards per play than the Titans. And if not for a goal line stop, a dropped pass by the sure handed Edelman, and a brain fart by BB, Pats win the game. The drop by the little ugly guy was huge, but 40 rushes for over 200 yards will usually outweigh any kind of passing game on the other side. "usually" View Post \| View Thread	TKWSNx93	29	January 08, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The look at me movement.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Ticktockw: Trump will be lucky if he does not go to prison. he committed multiple felonies with the Ukraine fiasco. SHHHHHH You might wake somebody up. View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	35	January 04, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Eagles vs Seahawks Week12 in NFL Betting There is no such thing as a "trap game." View Post \| View Thread	youngster513	26	November 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 2019 Super Bowl (Same old game) in NFL Betting For all the analyses out there, it boils down to the same old themes. In order to win in the NFL, you need to shut down the other teams run game and pressure the passer. Brady has thrown90 times this post season, 89 from the pocket. Sure death unless you can just out score him. I think the Rams could do either, and I would rate this game a toss-up, so I'll take the 2.5 and buy another half point to +3 and the Rams. LAR +3 (btw) vs. NE 2 units View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	February 03, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to SB Rush yds Report in NFL Betting That stat is true for most games in the NFL, regardless of the teams. Not as true as it used to be, but still a key stat. View Post \| View Thread	RLeith35	3	January 30, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The TRAIN69 2019 **Super Bowl Extravaganza in NFL Betting** My thoughts almost exactly. Rams have what it takes to put the hammer on that 41-year-old. As long as they don't turn the ball over. View Post \| View Thread	TRAIN69	63	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Are Brady and Belichick really that good? in NFL Betting If you are just a Patriot fan, I guess so. They are also 2-5 ATS in Super Bowls as favs. View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I pretty much suck at the NFL but just bet the RAMS +2.5 in NFL Betting B&B are 2-5 ATS in Super Bowls View Post \| View Thread	Winston704	4	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why hasn't the line moved? in NFL Betting +3 minus 125 is slightly less than +2.5 minus 110 i.e. you should be able to get +3 minus 120. View Post \| View Thread	v81	18	January 25, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL 2018-19 Playoffs cont Conf Champ games in NFL Betting Wild Card round 1-3 minus 0.2 units Div round 2-1 plus 0.9 units 3-4 plus 0.7 units Today: Who knows? Wouldn't put much on any aspect of either game. I don't remember a playoff season when I had fewer ideas. Usually a team that "shouldn't be there." Or some such nonsense. I like all these teams. Score was much closer last week, but the Saints totally dominated after the first two Philly TDs. I don't think they can do that to the Rams, but I just can't bring myself to bet against the Saints in the Dome. So: NO-3 vs. LAR one unit I don't think the weather will be much of a factor at all in KC, and KC has all those downfield weapons, while NE is limited in that respect. Think NE will try to establish dominance on the ground with that superior Off line. Don't know if they will or not, but I will take the under in anticipation of long Pat drives. Could well win them the game if the Chiefs can't jump out in the first half and have some drives of their own. KC/NE under 56 one unit KC-3/under parlay 1/2 unit View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL 2018-19 Playoffs cont Conf Champ games in NFL Betting Wild Card round 1-3 minus 0.2 units Div round 2-1 plus 0.9 units 3-4 plus 0.7 units Today: Who knows? Wouldn't put much on any aspect of either game. I don't remember a playoff season when I had fewer ideas. Usually a team that "shouldn't be there." Or some such nonsense. I like all these teams. Score was much closer last week, but the Saints totally dominated after the first two Philly TDs. I don't think they can do that to the Rams, but I just can't bring myself to bet against the Saints in the Dome. So: NO-3 vs. LAR one unit I don't think the weather will be much of a factor at all in KC, and KC has all those downfield weapons, while NE is limited in that respect. Think NE will try to establish dominance on the ground with that superior Off line. Don't know if they will or not, but I will take the under in anticipation of long Pat drives. Could well win them the game if the Chiefs can't jump out in the first half and have some drives of their own. KC/NE under 56 one unit KC-3/under parlay 1/2 unit View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Biggest bet of my betting career in NFL Betting Hey "RockChalk5" For once I'm wishing a (presumably) KU fan the best of luck. View Post \| View Thread	RockChalk5	83	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Johnson's NFL Conference Championship Weekend in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight: I'm still early 20s so if it's gonna go faster and faster still... omg I've been doing this for over 50 years. After a while, somewhere around the forties, you are just glad to get it over with and get ready for baseball season. No wagering there..just love the season. View Post \| View Thread	CMJohnson1	21	January 18, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to NO FANS, NO CONCESSIONS, NO PARKING REVENUES.......... in NFL Betting Ah, c'mon. You know the answer to that one. They get together a few days before the game, figure out a plausible script and who will cover, then they bet accordingly. Same as us. View Post \| View Thread	jpot34	11	October 12, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How many positions are the Chiefs better than the 49ers? in NFL Betting When I log onto Covers this is the type of post I am looking for: good, in-depth analyses and legitimate points, not a bunch of useless sniping and garbage about "scripted" games and crooked refs, etc. Nice Post indeed! View Post \| View Thread	andarmac99	210	January 21, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Conference Game Day Scattershooting... in NFL Betting [Quote: Originally Posted by smacksmiter] This fascinates me... Aaron Rodgers last 5 playoff losses ALL came to teams he LOST to in the regular season...... - 2016 NFC Championship at Atlanta - 2015 NFC Divisional at Arizona - 2014 NFC Championship at Seattle - 2013 NFC Wild Card vs SF - 2012 NFC Divisional at SF Of course, he lost to the 49ers this year 37-8 in week 12... Let's throw a bit more fuel on the bonfire for Rodgers... How does he do vs #1 pass defenses...including playoffs?... 1-4 overall... 0-4 on the road... 4 TDs...4 interceptions... 72.2 QB rating... Oh my...guess who has the #1 rated pass defense in the NFL this year?.............. That's right...your San Francisco 49ers... I'm just going from years of memory here, but a good rating in pass defense is often registered by poor teams, the opposition not needing to pass to beat them and running out the clock with big leads. All the more credit to this year's Niner bunch. View Post \| View Thread	smacksmiter	75	January 19, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic San Fran/Green Bay (forget week 12 but take Niners) in NFL Betting Rodgers and the Pack will be a different team this time but I"m not sure it will matter. A more relevant game is last week's demolition of the Vikings. The 27-10 score is misleading, Vikings were totally dominated. Now Cousins is not Rodgers and the Viking offense is not on a par with the Pack, but if the 49er defense plays anywhere close to last week, the Pack will require a 2-3 plus in turnovers to have a chance. Could happen and 7.5 is too many points, but I'll take the Niners for a little. They just look too tough on defense. Will be rooting for the Chiefs, but have a little on the Titans. That way I will win at least one way and maybe two. First post of the year. Just too much trouble and this site ain't what; it used to be. View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 19, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Never in my life in NFL Betting Good point View Post \| View Thread	HabsHater88	9	January 13, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Never in my life in NFL Betting That's what the "script" called for, don'cha know? View Post \| View Thread	HabsHater88	9	January 13, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL PLAYOFF FACT in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by RIZIN_MMA: Wow.... Only 2 teams have won multiple games in the same postseason with fewer than 100 yards passing. The Dolphins (72, 73) and Steelers (74)....ALL won the Super Bowl. This postseason the Titans passed for 71 yards last week's win over the Patriots and have 83 yards tonight vs Ravens.....wow, very interesting stat! I guess the "torch" has been passed on from Bellichick to Vrabel. Also, since this year's SB is being held in Miami, it would be bittersweet for Tannehill to get his first SB ring where he started his pro career. I might have to jump on this bandwagon because my predictions are off. Big props to Train69 for that 50-1 future bet. I think you can delete "bitter" from "bittersweet." View Post \| View Thread	RIZIN_MMA	4	January 12, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The Sleeping Giant that is the Tennessee Titans in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: You do realize that as putrid as the Pats were on offense they had more yards and more yards per play than the Titans. And if not for a goal line stop, a dropped pass by the sure handed Edelman, and a brain fart by BB, Pats win the game. The drop by the little ugly guy was huge, but 40 rushes for over 200 yards will usually outweigh any kind of passing game on the other side. "usually" View Post \| View Thread	TKWSNx93	29	January 08, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The look at me movement.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Ticktockw: Trump will be lucky if he does not go to prison. he committed multiple felonies with the Ukraine fiasco. SHHHHHH You might wake somebody up. View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	35	January 04, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Eagles vs Seahawks Week12 in NFL Betting There is no such thing as a "trap game." View Post \| View Thread	youngster513	26	November 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 2019 Super Bowl (Same old game) in NFL Betting For all the analyses out there, it boils down to the same old themes. In order to win in the NFL, you need to shut down the other teams run game and pressure the passer. Brady has thrown90 times this post season, 89 from the pocket. Sure death unless you can just out score him. I think the Rams could do either, and I would rate this game a toss-up, so I'll take the 2.5 and buy another half point to +3 and the Rams. LAR +3 (btw) vs. NE 2 units View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	February 03, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to SB Rush yds Report in NFL Betting That stat is true for most games in the NFL, regardless of the teams. Not as true as it used to be, but still a key stat. View Post \| View Thread	RLeith35	3	January 30, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to The TRAIN69 2019 **Super Bowl Extravaganza in NFL Betting** My thoughts almost exactly. Rams have what it takes to put the hammer on that 41-year-old. As long as they don't turn the ball over. View Post \| View Thread	TRAIN69	63	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Are Brady and Belichick really that good? in NFL Betting If you are just a Patriot fan, I guess so. They are also 2-5 ATS in Super Bowls as favs. View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I pretty much suck at the NFL but just bet the RAMS +2.5 in NFL Betting B&B are 2-5 ATS in Super Bowls View Post \| View Thread	Winston704	4	January 26, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why hasn't the line moved? in NFL Betting +3 minus 125 is slightly less than +2.5 minus 110 i.e. you should be able to get +3 minus 120. View Post \| View Thread	v81	18	January 25, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL 2018-19 Playoffs cont Conf Champ games in NFL Betting Wild Card round 1-3 minus 0.2 units Div round 2-1 plus 0.9 units 3-4 plus 0.7 units Today: Who knows? Wouldn't put much on any aspect of either game. I don't remember a playoff season when I had fewer ideas. Usually a team that "shouldn't be there." Or some such nonsense. I like all these teams. Score was much closer last week, but the Saints totally dominated after the first two Philly TDs. I don't think they can do that to the Rams, but I just can't bring myself to bet against the Saints in the Dome. So: NO-3 vs. LAR one unit I don't think the weather will be much of a factor at all in KC, and KC has all those downfield weapons, while NE is limited in that respect. Think NE will try to establish dominance on the ground with that superior Off line. Don't know if they will or not, but I will take the under in anticipation of long Pat drives. Could well win them the game if the Chiefs can't jump out in the first half and have some drives of their own. KC/NE under 56 one unit KC-3/under parlay 1/2 unit View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NFL 2018-19 Playoffs cont Conf Champ games in NFL Betting Wild Card round 1-3 minus 0.2 units Div round 2-1 plus 0.9 units 3-4 plus 0.7 units Today: Who knows? Wouldn't put much on any aspect of either game. I don't remember a playoff season when I had fewer ideas. Usually a team that "shouldn't be there." Or some such nonsense. I like all these teams. Score was much closer last week, but the Saints totally dominated after the first two Philly TDs. I don't think they can do that to the Rams, but I just can't bring myself to bet against the Saints in the Dome. So: NO-3 vs. LAR one unit I don't think the weather will be much of a factor at all in KC, and KC has all those downfield weapons, while NE is limited in that respect. Think NE will try to establish dominance on the ground with that superior Off line. Don't know if they will or not, but I will take the under in anticipation of long Pat drives. Could well win them the game if the Chiefs can't jump out in the first half and have some drives of their own. KC/NE under 56 one unit KC-3/under parlay 1/2 unit View Post \| View Thread	worthashot	1	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Biggest bet of my betting career in NFL Betting Hey "RockChalk5" For once I'm wishing a (presumably) KU fan the best of luck. View Post \| View Thread	RockChalk5	83	January 20, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Johnson's NFL Conference Championship Weekend in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight: I'm still early 20s so if it's gonna go faster and faster still... omg I've been doing this for over 50 years. After a while, somewhere around the forties, you are just glad to get it over with and get ready for baseball season. No wagering there..just love the season. View Post \| View Thread	CMJohnson1	21	January 18, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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