Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ryan O'Hearn has been on fire at the dish lately, and our MLB picks expect him to lock in and add a couple more knocks to his resume against Bryce Miller.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Jul 4, 2024 • 11:46 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Ryan O'Hearn Baltimore Orioles MLB
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The Baltimore Orioles look to continue their surge up the AL East when they finish off a three-game set against the Seattle Mariners this Fourth of July at T-Mobile Park.

Ryan O’Hearn carried the Orioles to victory with three RBI on Wednesday and enters today on a three-game multi-hit streak, and the first baseman is featured in my Orioles vs Mariners predictions for July 4. Find out why in MLB picks below!

Orioles vs Mariners prediction

My best bet
Ryan O'Hearn 2+ hits (+185 at DraftKings)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis
It was another big night at the plate for Ryan O’Hearn in the Baltimore Orioles’ win on Wednesday as he hit a solo home run and added a two-run double to account for three of his team’s four runs. Baltimore continues to rack up the wins, going 6-1 in its last seven contests, and now holds a two-game lead in the AL East.

O’Hearn enters this afternoon’s game with multiple hits in three straight outings and a .400 batting average over the past week, so I’ll look for him to keep that trend going with another two-hit outing.

The first baseman leads all Orioles hitters (min. 10 GP) with a .294 average on the season and is coming off his best month so far after batting .321 in June. I also like how the left-batting O’Hearn matches up against the Seattle Mariners starter, Bryce Miller, as the Orioles slugger is hitting .296 vs righties with an .867 OPS (compared to .263 and .526 vs lefties).

Seattle has been one of the better pitching teams in the majors this year, but Miller has not necessarily been a contributor toward that of late. He posted a 4.68 ERA in June and hasn't pitched through the sixth inning in three straight outings while allowing four or more earned runs in five of his last 11 starts.

Orioles vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)

Ryan O'Hearn 2+ hits

Mariners Under 2.5 runs

Orioles moneyline

The Mariners continue to struggle at the plate during their current four-game slide, averaging 1.25 runs per game while scoring more than one run just once. Seattle has managed just one measly run against Baltimore through its first two meetings of the series.

Obviously, it’s going to be hard to win many games when you simply can’t score, and I don’t see that changing for the Mariners against Orioles starter Corbin Burnes. The RHP is 6-1 in his last eight starts and posted a stingy 2.12 ERA in June.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Orioles vs Mariners odds

Orioles vs Mariners live odds

Orioles vs Mariners opening odds

  • Run line: Baltimore -1.5 (+115) | Seattle +1.5 (-135)
  • Moneyline: Baltimore -140 | Seattle +120
  • Over/Under: Over 7.0 (-110) | Under 7.0 (-110)

Orioles vs Mariners spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Orioles opened at -136 and saw their edge increase across the board, sitting at around -150 by Thursday morning. At the time of writing, 71% of bettors had their money on Baltimore.
  • The Orioles are 6-1 in the last seven meetings against the Mariners, while Seattle is just 3-10 in its last 13 outings.
  • Today’s total opened at seven runs, with the Under going 4-2-1 in the last seven meetings. The Under is also 4-1 in Seattle’s last five contests.

Orioles vs Mariners trend

Baltimore is 14-6 in its last 20 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Mariners

Orioles vs Mariners game info

Location: Stadium, City, State/Province
Date: Thursday, 7-4-2024
First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
TV: Root Sports, MASN2
Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
(9-3, 2.28 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
(6-7, 3.88 ERA)

Orioles vs Mariners latest injuries

Orioles vs Mariners weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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