It’s time to sound the alarm for two Western Conference powerhouses. The Golden State Warriors have lost three straight, and the Phoenix Suns have lost six of seven.
My Warriors vs. Suns predictions expect Steph Curry to heat up from beyond the arc to try and get his team going.
Read my NBA picks for November 30 below.
Warriors vs Suns prediction
My best bet
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 threes (+100 at bet365)
My analysis
Stephen Curry sat out Wednesday against the Thunder, but he knocked down eight triples against the Nets in his last game out on Monday.
I fully expect Curry to drain at least five 3-pointers against a Phoenix Suns defense that has allowed the seventh-highest 3-point percentage to opponents this season.
Curry has been great in his last 10 against Phoenix, averaging 4.9 triples in that span. He hit at least five triples in five of those games and at least four in nine of them.
Since 2022-23, Chef has hit at least five 3-pointers in 77 of 144 games, good for 53.5%. Based on the implied probability, we’d expect this line to be set at -115, so we’re getting tremendous value at even money here.
Curry is averaging just 4.3 triples this season, but it’s not because of a dip in efficiency. In fact, Curry’s 44.4% mark from beyond the arc is his best since the 2015-16 season.
His dip in made 3-pointers is largely due to a decline in playing time. Curry’s 29.7 minutes per game are the second-fewest of his career (not counting the 2019-20 season in which he played just five games). He’s attempting only 9.6 treys per game, which is his lowest mark since the 2014-15 season.
In seven games with at least 30 minutes played, he’s averaged 4.7 long balls, hitting the Over three times. I expect Curry will log heavy minutes in a competitive game as he tries to lead his team to victory on the road.
Warriors vs Suns same-game parlay
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 threes
Suns moneyline
Over 232
Both teams are desperate for a victory, but I’m backing the home team here. The Suns are 7-3 against the Warriors straight up across the last 10 head-to-head meetings, and Phoenix has won four straight at home.
This is a narrow spread, and it wouldn’t be surprising if the Suns pulled off a one or two-point victory.
The Warriors are just 1-5 to the Under across their last six, but I’m taking the Over in this one. These teams are a combined 21-15 to the Over this season, and Phoenix has hit the Over in four of seven as the home favorite.
Golden State is 6-4 to the Over on the road and 4-0 to the Over as the road underdog. The Warriors rank fourth in pace, and both teams rank in the Top 12 in Offensive Rating.
The Suns defense has struggled to limit opponents this season, and Golden State can put up a lot of points on the road to make this a competitive and high-scoring affair. The last four times these teams met in Phoenix, they averaged just over 240 points and combined for at least 235 each time
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Warriors vs Suns odds
Warriors vs Suns live odds
Warriors vs Suns opening odds
- Spread: Golden State +2.5 (-110) | Phoenix -2.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Golden State +120 | Phoenix -140
- Over/Under: Over 233 (-110) | Under 233 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Warriors vs Suns spread and Over/Under analysis
- Golden State has covered just once in its last seven games, and the team is 10-7-1 ATS this season.
- Phoenix is just 2-5 ATS across its last seven, and the team has covered in just six of 18 games in 2024-25.
- The Warriors are 10-8 to the Over this season, but Golden State has hit the Under in five of its last six.
- The Suns have hit the Over in four of their last seven, and the team is 11-7 to the Over this season.
Warriors vs Suns trend
The Suns have won seven of the last 10 head-to-head matchups with the Warriors, including four straight in Phoenix. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Suns.
How to watch Warriors vs Suns
| Location: | Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date: | Saturday, 11-30-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Arizona's Family 3TV / Arizona's Family Sports, NBC Sports Bay Area |
Warriors vs Suns latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
