Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction and Picks for College Football Week 13

Eastern Michigan is in a freefall right now, and the Buffalo Bulls will add to the Eagles' misery.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Nov 19, 2024 • 16:07 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 24 hrs
EMU
65 %
BUFF
35 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Buffalo -105 Buffalo -105
Read Analysis
C.J. Ogbonna Buffalo Bulls NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. C.J. Ogbonna runs the ball against the UConn.

The Buffalo Bulls will try to keep their slim hopes of appearing in the MAC Championship alive as they visit the Eastern Michigan Eagles for a midweek clash on Wednesday, November 20.

The Bulls seem to be finding their way on offense and should beat a floundering Eagles squad, as I’ll detail in my Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan predictions.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan prediction and best bet

My best bet
Buffalo moneyline (-105 at Caesars)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
The raw numbers this season for these two teams suggest a tight battle that might be too close to call. But their respective play in MAC games, especially over the past few weeks, has me strongly favoring the Buffalo Bulls.

Eastern Michigan has lost three straight games and four of its last five. Most recently, the Ohio Bobcats demolished the Eagles 35-10 last week, and an earlier loss to the Akron Zips — Akron’s only conference win this season — was possibly even more concerning. 

Over the last three weeks, Eastern Michigan has averaged just 19.7 points per game while allowing its opponents to score an average of 29.7 points. While Ohio and the Toledo Rockets are solid enough teams, that’s still a disappointing run, especially when you consider the Eagles aren’t getting much of a dip in competition by hosting Buffalo this week.

Meanwhile, Buffalo is coming off of two straight wins against Akron and the Ball State Cardinals, averaging 46 ppg in those victories. The Bulls are running the ball efficiently, averaging 4.5 yards per carry over their last two games while scoring seven times on the ground over those two outings. 

EM can’t really stop anyone from doing anything, and that includes the running game. The Eagles allow an average of 4.6 yards per rush and 6.3 yards per play overall, and that defense has looked even shakier over the past few weeks as they’ve floundered after a strong 4-1 start.

The mitigating factor here could have been the Buffalo defense, which also ranks outside the Top 100 in the nation, allowing 30.9 ppg. But the Eagles put up just 266 yards of total offense against Ohio last week and don’t have a particular strength I think will tear apart the Bulls.

Make no mistake: This will be a shootout between two teams that don’t have much ability to compete on the defensive side of the ball. However, I see more promising signs from Buffalo in all phases of the game, while the Eagles are struggling to find wins down the stretch.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan same-game parlay (SGP)

Buffalo moneyline

Over 52.5

C.J. Ogbonna anytime touchdown

I like Buffalo’s offense to carry the day on Wednesday, and that’s the basis of my same-game parlay. Both teams regularly exceed this total, and the Bulls have hit the Over in six consecutive games.

C.J. Ogbonna has scored six times on the ground this year, tied for the team lead with Al-Jay Henderson. But Ogbonna has three touchdowns in the last two games, and we can get him at much better odds, making him the best play for our parlay.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan odds

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan live odds

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan opening odds

  • Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan spread: Eastern Michigan -2.5
  • Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan moneyline: Buffalo +125, Eastern Michigan -150
  • Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan Over/Under: 52.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Eastern Michigan is 7-3 against the spread this season, with Buffalo holding a 5-5 ATS record on the year.
  • The Bulls have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings against the Eagles.
  • The Over holds a 6-3-1 record in Eastern Michigan’s games and is an even 5-5 when Buffalo plays.
  • The Bulls are playing to an average total of 57.8 points per game, while the Eagles are averaging a total of 54.5 ppg.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan betting trend to know

Buffalo is 3-1 straight up in its last three meetings with Eastern Michigan. Find more college football betting trends for Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan game info

Location: Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI
Date: Wednesday, 11-20, 2024
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNU

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan latest injuries

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan weather

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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