Bills vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay for Week 8: Kincaid Racks Up Receiving Yards Against Seattle

The Seahawks continuously find themselves in shootouts, and this Week 8 matchup against the Bills will be no different. Expect Dalton Kincaid to take advantage.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 25, 2024 • 13:20 ET • 4 min read
Dalton Kincaid Buffalo Bills NFL
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The Seattle Seahawks are a home underdog to the visiting Buffalo Bills on Sunday, October 27, and this contest has one of the highest totals of Week 8.

Our same-game parlay NFL picks and Bills vs. Seahawks predictions expect Buffalo to extend its winning streak to three games in a high-scoring bout.

Bills vs Seahawks SGP for Week 8

Bills moneyline

Over 47

Dalton Kincaid Over 39.5 receiving yards

Hat tip to the Seattle Seahawks for taking down the Atlanta Falcons in Week 7 to snap their three-game losing skid, but I expect them to drop this Week 8 tilt against the Buffalo Bills.

Buffalo beefed up its receiving room with the acquisition of Amari Cooper, and the veteran provided an immediate boost for the offense in limited action. Cooper hauled in four of five targets for 66 yards and a score on just 18 offensive snaps. A full week of practice will only help his chemistry with quarterback Josh Allen.

I also value Allen turning in a high-end showing against a tough Tennessee Titans defense last week. He threw for 9.8 yards per attempt with a 9.2 aDoT and posted his highest PFF passing grade of the year.

Additionally, the Bills rank higher in DVOA, including in both offensive and defensive metrics, and Buffalo is better on both sides of the ball in EPA per play. 

Still, I do expect Seattle to push Buffalo and for this to be a back-and-forth game. The Bills and Seahawks, respectively, rank fifth and eighth in points per game and 11th and 12th in yards per play. Both teams are also solid in the red zone, with touchdown conversion percentages ranking seventh and 10th.

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Bills tight end Dawson Knox (ankle) missed Wednesday’s practice, while Dalton Kincaid (collarbone) was a limited participant. As a result, there’s potential for Kincaid to see a slight uptick in snaps, and he’s already recorded 40 or more receiving yards in four of his past five games, with 19 receptions for 225 yards on 31 targets.

The Seahawks haven’t defended the position well, either. Seattle has surrendered the ninth-highest yards per target (7.87) and 10th-highest catch percentage (76.9%). Additionally, Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts hauled in seven of nine targets for 65 yards against Seattle last week.

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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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