Dolphins vs Jets Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 18

The Miami Dolphins still have a shot to make the playoffs, but Garrett Wilson has plans to disrupt those plans as the New York Jets welcome the Fins into their frigid home for a Week 18 showdown.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 5, 2025 • 08:24 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Garrett Wilson New York Jets NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (5) runs with the ball after making a catch.

The Miami Dolphins have turned things around over the past two months to give themselves a chance to make the playoffs. They’ve gone 6-2 after a 2-6 start to get back up to .500. They have to take care of business against the Jets at MetLife Stadium on Sunday while relying on Kansas City’s backups to beat the Broncos in Denver.

The Jets haven’t quite lived up to expectations this season with just a 4-12 record but the oddsmakers still have this as a coinflip game on Sunday afternoon.

Read on to find out why my Dolphins vs. Jets predictions expect New York wide receiver Garrett Wilson to stay hot in my best NFL picks for Week 18 on Sunday, January 5.

Kick-off is set for 4:25 p.m. ET, live on FOX.

Dolphins vs Jets prediction

  • Moneyline prediction: Dolphins moneyline (+100)
  • Spread prediction: Dolphins +1 (-105)
  • Over/Under prediction: Under 39 (-110)
  • Best bet: Garrett Wilson Over 4.5 receptions (-135)

Dolphins vs. Jets spread prediction

The Jets don’t have anything to play for besides maybe pride for Aaron Rodgers in potentially his last game with the team (or in the league). Still, you have to think the Dolphins keep things rolling here to take care of their side of things for the playoffs. Take them +1 here on the road.

Dolphins vs. Jets moneyline prediction

Likewise, I’d back the Dolphins on the moneyline here as well.

Dolphins vs. Jets total prediction

The total is set at a low 39 between these two teams. I’d be looking to the Over 39 here given Miami’s potent offense and the fact that the first meeting last month had 58 combined points in a Dolphins overtime win.

My best bet
Garrett Wilson Over 4.5 receptions (-135 at BetMGM)

My analysis

Garrett Wilson has been a consistent threat since being drafted by the New York Jets in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft. He’s gone over 1,000 yards in each season and is on the cusp of cracking the century mark for receptions with 97 through 16 games.

This line seems a bit low given the fact that Wilson averages six catches per game as well as nine targets. He had seven catches on 10 targets for 114 yards in the matchup against the Miami Dolphins last month.

Wilson has seen double-digit targets in six games this season and had a combined 15 targets in the last two contests. The Jets are feeding the ball to their wide receiver of the future (and present), and there has to be a part of Aaron Rodgers that wants his name to live on with Wilson and the Jets.

Finally, we’re getting a great number here at BetMGM. They’re offering -135 while other books are priced up at -145 and -156.

Dolphins vs Jets same-game parlay

Dolphins moneyline

Garrett Wilson 5+ catches

Garrett Wilson Over 53.5 yards

Garrett Wilson is averaging 65.8 yards per game this season and racked up 114 in the first meeting. While the weather in New York on Sunday won’t be as favorable as down in Miami, he’s still a strong bet to get plenty of receptions and yards against the Dolphins. Wilson has had 54+ yards in 11 of 16 games this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Dolphins vs Jets odds

Dolphins vs Jets live odds

Dolphins vs Jets opening odds

  • Spread: Miami +1 | New York -1
  • Moneyline: Miami -110 | New York -110
  • Over/Under: Over 39 | Under 39

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Dolphins vs Jets spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Dolphins opened as -2.5 favorites before getting bet all the way down to +1 underdogs throughout the week.
  • The total has also come down a bit from 41 at opening to 39 as of Saturday afternoon.

Dolphins vs Jets betting trend to know

The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 10% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Dolphins vs. Jets.

Dolphins vs Jets game info

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Sunday, 1-5, 2025
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

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Dolphins vs Jets weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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