Packers vs Broncos Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Week’s NFL Preseason Game

The Broncos have been working the Packers in joint practices and scrimmages this week and as a result, we're expecting Denver to cover Sunday night.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Aug 17, 2024 • 12:17 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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It may just be the preseason but the Green Bay Packers continue to surprise people after convincingly beating the Browns last week, handing them just their second preseason loss in their last seven games.

This week, they'll take on the Denver Broncos, a team they faced last October but with a very different quarterback at the helm. I break it all down in my Packers vs. Broncos predictions and NFL picks below.

Packers vs Broncos prediction

My best bet
Broncos -7 (-105 at Caesars)

My analysis
If there's one thing we know about the post-Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers, it's that they continue to surprise people.

No one expected the Packers to make the playoffs, let alone win a game. No one expected Jordan Love to have the season he did last year which helped him become the NFL's highest-paid player. And on a lesser scale, no one (at least sportsbooks and betting splits) expected the Packers to win last week's ultimately meaningless game against the Browns.

It took just three snaps from Love to shock people once more, connecting on a long touchdown with emerging receiver Dontayvion Wicks. Those three snaps were enough for Matt LaFleur to sit Love for this week's matchup.

And while Green Bay seemingly can't stop surprising people, we're once again going to doubt them. In joint practices and scrimmages this week, the Denver Broncos beat reporters noted that Jordan Love struggled (by his new standards) and all three of the Broncos quarterbacks had strong showings.

Those same reporters noted the aggressiveness and effort by the Broncos during these periods, seemingly playing with far more urgency. Whether it's a result of the loss they took last October or the result of a lot of young talent and disrespected veterans trying to measure themselves against a playoff team, it doesn't matter — Denver had its way, and the same should be true Sunday night.

Packers vs Broncos odds

Packers vs Broncos live odds

Packers vs Broncos opening odds

  • Spread: Green Bay +3.5 | Denver -3.5
  • Moneyline: Green Bay +155 | Denver -185
  • Over/Under: Over 37.5 | Under 37.5

Packers vs Broncos betting trend to know

The Packers have never won back-to-back preseason games under Matt LaFleur, and he has just one winning record in his four preseasons with the franchise. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Broncos.

Packers vs Broncos game info

Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Date: Sunday, 8-18, 2024
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network

Packers vs Broncos weather

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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