Week 8 NFL Predictions to Bet Now, Bet Later: Chiefs Cruise on Both Sides of the Ball

The Patrick Mahomes of it all may have people underestimating the Chiefs defense while expecting too much from the offense. Facing a dire Raiders attack, the Under is the right play to make right now.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 20, 2024 • 21:29 ET • 4 min read
Nick Bolton Kansas City Chiefs MLB
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Another week of NFL betting has come and gone, which means the oddsmakers have a brand-new data set coursing through their power ratings.

NFL Week 8 odds will be the sharpest set of spreads and totals we’ve faced, and that makes getting the best number for your NFL picks vital to bolster your bankroll.

I comb the opening Week 8 lines and NFL odds to highlight the ones to “Bet Now” and some better served to be “Bet Later”.

Week 8 bet now, bet later picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5): Bet Now

A bye week wasn’t long enough to clear the stink of the Dallas Cowboys' 47-9 bed-shitting in Week 6. Dallas jumps back into action in Week 8, traveling to Santa Clara for a clash with their old rivals.

The San Francisco 49ers are coming off a loss to Kansas City, in which they closed as 2.5-point home favorites. Now, the Niners are laying as short as -5.5 against a Cowboys club that is far less talented than the Chiefs... or the 49ers, for that matter.

Dallas is expected to get some bodies back on defense, specifically pass rusher Micah Parsons, and the 49ers watched WRs Deebo Samuel (illness) and Brandon Aiyuk (knee) leave the Week 7 loss to Kansas City. That’s why bookies are giving the Cowboys the benefit of the doubt. 

However, this Cowboys stop unit is nowhere near the standards of recent seasons, and even those Dallas defenses got ripped apart by San Francisco’s attack. As for the Cowboys offense, Dak Prescott’s turnover-prone play faces a ball-hawking Niners defense that just made Patrick Mahomes look very ordinary.

The offensive injuries are worrisome but if you like San Francisco, scoop it now under the key number.

Best odds to bet 49ers -5.5 right now

Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5): Bet Later

The Cincinnati Bengals finally beat the rival Browns in Cleveland but need a special teams TD to open the game and Deshaun Watson to shred his Achilles. Outside of that, Cincinnati may have had no business picking up its third win in four games.

The Philadelphia Eagles, on the other hand, demolished any doubt as to who the beast of the NFC East truly is. The Eagles rolled the Giants 28-3 for their third win in four games and opened just shy of being field-goal dogs in Week 8.

Those contrasting results already have the line for this non-conference clash slimming, with Cincinnati as short as 2-point chalk on Sunday night. If you’re hunting for value with the home side, wait this line out and see how short it gets later in the week.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow is the best quarterback Philadelphia has faced this season, with the Eagles owning wins over the likes of Daniel Jones, Watson, and Derek Carr as well as benefiting from Jordan Love’s injury in Week 1. The Eagles got beat up by Kirk Cousins and Baker Mayfield, boast the 18th-rated EPA allowed per dropback, and sit 20th in passer rating from opposing QBs.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (Under 42.5): Bet Now

Forget about Patrick Mahomes and all the offensive flash. The Kansas City Chiefs are a defensive team.

That Super Bowl stop unit showed up in Santa Clara in Week 7 and held off the 49ers, picking off Brock Purdy three times and holding the Niners to 2-for-4 success in the red zone. Kansas City has now played Under the total in four straight outings.

Now that group ventures to Sin City to take on the rival Las Vegas Raiders, who could be back to Gardner Minshew at quarterback after Week 7 starter Aiden O’Connell suffered what is believed to be a broken thumb. Regardless of who’s under center, the Las Vegas attack sucks ass. It’s failed to crack 21 points in four straight games and enters Week 8 ranked 31st in EPA per play.

To be fair, the Chiefs offense isn’t exactly piling on the points. Kansas City picked up just 4.8 yards per play versus San Francisco and was lucky to turn in 28 points, due in large part to those turnovers forced by the defense.

This total opened as tall as 42.5 points, which seems a little ambitious considering the matchup. We’re already seeing moves to 42 O/U, so grab the Under now as this total could be on the way down to the key number of 41 points.

Best odds to bet Under 42.5 right now

Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks (Under 48.5): Bet Later

The Seattle Seahawks and Buffalo Bills both scored 34 points en route to their respective Week 7 victories, so naturally we’d see the total for the Week 8 meeting start to climb. 

Oddsmakers opened the Over/Under for this non-conference contest as low as 47.5 points and the market high is 49.5 on Sunday night. If this total tops the 50-point plateau, bettors may want to think about buying back the Under.

Buffalo didn’t exactly sizzle in the win over Tennessee, benefiting from two turnovers and a Titans team that couldn’t move the chains. The Bills made the score look a lot more impressive with some garbage-time touchdowns in the closing minutes.

The Seahawks also looked much stouter in their win over Atlanta, benefiting from three turnovers and a fumble recovery for the touchdown. Seattle was outgained and outdone on first downs and went just 1-for-2 in the red zone.

Both defenses are stronger against the pass but soft against the run, which could mean a game plan anchored on the ground in Week 8. That means short gains with the clock running — a delicious recipe for Unders. But don’t eat just yet. Wait and see if this total gets taller in the next 24 hours or so.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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