The unbeaten New York Yankees welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks to the Bronx tonight for the first of a three-game set.
Corbin Burnes had a lot of success against New York last season, and I’ll explain in my Diamondbacks vs. Yankees predictions why I expect him to rack up the strikeouts in 2025 debut.
Read more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, April 1.
Diamondbacks vs Yankees prediction
My Diamondbacks vs Yankees best bet: Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 strikeouts (+106 at FanDuel)
The Arizona Diamondbacks managed to win the Corbin Burnes sweepstakes this past offseason, adding to their already talented rotation. The right-hander is one of the best in the game and he proved just that in 2024, compiling a 15-9 record and 2.92 ERA in 32 starts, striking out 181 in 194 1/3 innings of work.
Burnes has always been a strikeout pitcher. He’s averaged 10.6 Ks per nine innings in his big league career and even led the National League in strikeouts in 2022 when he was with the Milwaukee Brewers, compiling 243.
When it comes to facing the hard-hitting New York Yankees, Burnes posted a 2.45 ERA against them last year. More importantly, he struck out 15 batters in 11 innings. The California native has struck out Aaron Judge three times in just seven at-bats, Paul Goldschmidt 11 times, Cody Bellinger on four occasions, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. four times.
Yes, the Yankees' bats are hot, and I’m not saying they won’t do any damage. But, Burnes has incredible swing-and-miss stuff. He’ll miss some barrels tonight in his first start with the D-backs.
Diamondbacks vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)
Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 strikeouts
Aaron Judge to hit a single
Josh Naylor to record a hit
Judge is off to a huge start to begin the 2025 campaign, going 6-for-11 (.545) with four home runs and 11 RBI. Yes, in just three games. Talk about red-hot.
I know what you’re thinking, all six of his hits have been for extra bases — four long balls and two doubles. But, he’s not a stranger to a simple base knock, either.
Plus, Judge has never even registered a hit against Burnes. Also, he had 85 singles last year out of his 180 total hits. The slugger is a well-rounded hitter. This is worth a look for the series opener tonight.
Josh Naylor is also tearing the cover off the baseball early on. The Canadian is hitting .400 in four contests with two doubles and two RBI.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Diamondbacks vs Yankees odds
Diamondbacks vs Yankees live odds
Diamondbacks vs Yankees opening odds
- Moneyline: Arizona -116 | New York +107
- Run line: Arizona -1.5 | New York +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Diamondbacks vs Yankees trend
The Diamondbacks have hit the moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Yankees.
How to watch Diamondbacks vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, 4-1-2025 |
| First pitch | 8:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher | Corbin Burnes (2024: 15-9, 2.92 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (2024: 0-3, 10.32 ERA) |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees latest injuries
Diamondbacks vs Yankees weather
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