Mets vs Phillies Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today’s MLB Game

The London faithful were treated to a convincing Philadelphia win on Saturday, and Eric Rosales is expecting an encore on Sunday when these two NL East rivals wrap up the series in Jolly Old England. Read more in our Mets vs. Phillies betting picks.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Jun 8, 2024 • 20:21 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Nick Castellanos Philadelphia Phillies MLB
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Whether it’s been on the East Coast or across the pond, the Philadelphia Phillies have shown no mercy on the New York Mets of late.

They’ll seek a mini-series sweep in London on Sunday, and my Phillies vs. Mets predictions expect the NL juggernauts to continue their offensive onslaught in our MLB picks for June 9.

Mets vs Phillies prediction

My best bet
Phillies moneyline (-140 at bet365)

My analysis

London got to see what many have been witnessing stateside for weeks: the Philadelphia Phillies are the real deal.

The highest-scoring team in the majors rung up a 7-2 win over the New York Mets on Saturday. Philadelphia’s bats have been solid throughout the season, ranking sixth or better in average, on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

It might only be bested by their top-tier pitching, which held New York to just a pair of runs despite allowing 10 hits. As a team, they’re putting up a crisp 2.90 ERA and feature a bullpen with a 0.87 ERA over the last few weeks.

The Mets have just nine wins in their last 27 games, and of those, they’ve needed to score six runs or more to secure those wins. Over the last 30 days, New York holds the third-worst ERA in baseball at 4.96, having surrendered the most runs in baseball at 152.

Lefty Jose Quintana takes the bump for the Mets in this one as he looks to improve on his 5.17 ERA. He’s given up three earned runs in each of his last three outings, which included coughing up five home runs.

The Phillies have now won five of the last six meetings and should be in command on getaway day.

Mets vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Phillies moneyline

Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 total bases

Bryce Harper Over 0.5 hits

Nick Castellanos delivered again for the Phillies, drilling a solo homer in their win Saturday in London. The veteran slugger has homered in back-to-back games, but he’s also picked up two or more total bases in six of his last seven games. Drawing Quintana next, Castellanos boasts a pair of dingers and a triple against the southpaw.

Let’s wrap this SGP with Castellanos teammate Bryce Harper, who had a big day in London, going 3-for-4 with a home run and an RBI. Harper now has hits in six of his last eight games, and I expect that to continue on Sunday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mets vs Phillies odds

Mets vs Phillies live odds

Mets vs Phillies opening odds

  • Run line: New York +1.5 (-155) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+130)
  • Moneyline: New York +120 | Philadelphia -140
  • Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-105) | Under 10.5 (-115)

Mets vs Phillies spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Phillies have won seven of their last eight contests.
  • New York is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games vs. Philadelphia.
  • The Over has cashed in five of the last seven head-to-head meetings.

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Mets vs Phillies trend

Eight of the Phillies' last nine games have gone Under the total. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Phillies

Mets vs Phillies game info

Location: London Stadium, London, United Kingdom
Date: Sunday, 6-9-2024
First pitch: 10:10 a.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana
(1-5, 5.17 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
(3-1, 5.73 ERA)

Mets vs Phillies latest injuries

Mets vs Phillies weather

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