Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Our MLB expert sees Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts piling on Corbin Burnes as he battles through a terrible month of August. Walker Buehler hasn't been much better of late, making the Over worth a long look.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Aug 28, 2024 • 11:24 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Baltimore Orioles Corbin Burnes MLB
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The Baltimore Orioles took the series opener against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a tight 3-2 game on Tuesday night, but we could be poised for a much different-looking contest tonight as Corbin Burnes and Walker Buehler take the mound for their respective clubs.

Both starters are in the middle of their worst stretches of the season, which could play to the hitters’ favor at Dodgers Stadium, as I explain in my Orioles vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, August 28.

Orioles vs Dodgers prediction

My best bet
Over 8.5 (-112 at DraftKings)

My analysis

Corbin Burnes was considered a Cy Young odds frontrunner only a month ago, but that ship has likely sailed due to an atrocious month of August. The Baltimore Orioles ace has posted a brutal 8.71 ERA this month and is coming off two of his worst starts of the year after giving up a combined 18 hits and 13 earned runs through his last 9 2/3 innings of work.

Los Angeles Dodgers starter Walker Buehler has not been much better since his return from a right hip injury that kept him out for two months. The right-hander hasn’t pitched past the four-inning mark in either of his two starts this month and carries a bloated 7.36 ERA.

Pitching aside, the Orioles and Dodgers are both Top 4 scoring teams in the MLB and should deliver fireworks at some point this series.

Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts each have six RBI over their last five games, so I like their chances to keep it going against a struggling Burnes and help carry this Over.

Shohei Ohtani pick: Burning Burnes

My best bet
Shohei Ohtani 2+ total bases (+100 at DraftKings)

My analysis

Tuesday’s game was a quiet one for Ohtani by his lofty standards as he picked up two singles and scored a run in the Dodgers’ defeat. The Japanese superstar hasn't been at his best this month, batting just .227 in August, but has been returning to form over the last couple of weeks.

Ohtani has recorded a hit in eight of his last nine games while notching 2+ total bases in six of those outings. He’s shown plenty of pop with four home runs and a triple during that span and should have the upper hand vs. Burnes tonight.

Orioles vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 8.5

Shohei Ohtani 2+ total bases

Mookie Betts Over 0.5 RBI

Betts has been hot since returning from injury earlier this month, logging 11 RBI in 13 games. The L.A. slugger has seven RBI in his last six games while driving in at least one run in four of those outings.

Burnes has given up 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts so there should be plenty of offense to go around for the Dodgers.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Orioles vs Dodgers odds

Orioles vs Dodgers live odds

Orioles vs Dodgers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Baltimore -1.5 (+155) | Los Angeles +1.5 (-190)
  • Run line: Baltimore -105 | Los Angeles -115
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)

Orioles vs Dodgers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Orioles and Dodgers opened at -101 and -107, respectively, essentially making this one a pick ‘em. Their odds remained at a deadlock late Wednesday morning.
  • Los Angeles has been the hotter team of late, going 12-5 in its last 17 games, while Baltimore is 5-6 in its last 11 contests. 
  • Tonight’s total opened at 8.5 and has also remained steady there across the board. 63% of bettors are taking the Over, likely due to a pair of struggling starters.

Orioles vs Dodgers trend

Los Angeles has hit the F5 team total Over in 14 of its last 21 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Dodgers.

Orioles vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Wednesday, 8-28-2024
First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet LA, MASN2
Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
(12-6, 3.28 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler
(1-4, 6.09 ERA)

Orioles vs Dodgers latest injuries

Orioles vs Dodgers weather

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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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