Although the Georgia Bulldogs’ 42-game regular-season winning streak ended last weekend, the SEC juggernauts will start another such streak when they face the Auburn Tigers this afternoon.
As counterintuitive as it may sound, the Bulldogs looked like a better product in their loss to Alabama last weekend. My Auburn vs. Georgia predictions will trust the Bulldogs to keep that improved form, as my college football picks seek an early reward to avoid any backdoor touchdown worries.
This approach should put some cash in our accounts shortly after kickoff at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5.
Auburn vs Georgia prediction
My best bet
Georgia 1H -13.5 (-120 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
Trailing 30-7, Georgia opened the second half against Alabama with a three-and-out that lost 11 yards. The Bulldogs looked absolutely lost.
However, their next six drives featured four touchdowns, with the two others stopped only by foolish turnovers in part the results of Georgia’s desperation. Then again, that panic can also be credited with producing those four scores and turning that rout into drama.
Desperation was the spur to innovation that the Bulldogs’ offense desperately needed. Just a week ago, things could be said like, “Georgia’s offensive woes are real, we have seen them,” while pointing out that the Bulldogs succeeded on only 37% of their rush attempts in the first three weeks of the season.
In Georgia’s final four drives, starting when trailing 33-15 in the fourth quarter, exactly three runs were called. There was obvious reason for that, needing to score three times to take a lead on Alabama, but it was no coincidence that abandoning the run sparked the most success the Bulldogs have enjoyed this season.
And of those three rush attempts, two of them came at the goal line. The other gained 12 yards on a 3rd-and-2.
Georgia had no choice but to trust its receivers, and that led to success. That type of offensive game plan should carry over against Auburn, especially since the Tigers’ defense is lackluster in all regards.
Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart has always been happy to play conservatively and trust his defense, but last week showed that Georgia needs to cut loose with its offense to produce anything at all. When the Bulldogs play conservatively these days, they fail too often.
Expect Georgia to remain aggressive offensive, as the alternative has already proven too costly.
Auburn vs Georgia same-game parlay (SGP)
Georgia -23.5
Georgia team total Over 38.5
Carson Beck 250+ passing yards
While BetMGM does not allow first-half bets to be included in a same-game parlay, it adjusts the spread in our favor when it comes to the SGP-specific offerings. Getting the spread below the key number of 24 lessens the worry of a backdoor cover from Auburn.
Beck threw for 306 yards on 24 pass attempts in last week’s second half against arguably the best-passing defense in the country. Auburn is weakest against the pass, so Beck should continue that surge. In doing so, Georgia should pile up the points.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Auburn vs Georgia odds
Auburn vs Georgia live odds
Auburn vs Georgia opening odds
- Auburn vs. Georgia spread: Georgia -24.5
- Auburn vs. Georgia moneyline: Auburn +1,100, Georgia -2,500
- Auburn vs. Georgia Over/Under: 51.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Auburn vs Georgia spread and Over/Under analysis
- The earliest lines on Sunday set Georgia as merely a 20-point favorite, a number that jumped to -23.5.
- By Monday midday, most sportsbooks had moved the Bulldogs up to -24.5.
- Similar to the spread, the first totals on the market on Sunday were at just 46.5, almost immediately jumping to 50.5.
- By Monday afternoon, the total had climbed to 52.5, with 52 being considered a key number.
Auburn vs Georgia betting trend to know
Georgia has gone 7-2 against the spread against Auburn since Kirby Smart arrived in Athens, including 2-0 ATS when favored by more than two possessions. Find more college football betting trends for Auburn vs Georgia.
Auburn vs Georgia game info
| Location: | Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA |
| Date: | Saturday, 10-5, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
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