We’re nearing the end of college football’s regular season, and by this point, we have a pretty good picture of who can get into the endzone for the major programs, even if their numbers don’t always show it.
I’ll be looking at three players who get plenty of usage this week, as it’s a great sign to see them with reasonable odds to find the end zone. Here are my favorite anytime touchdown college football picks for Week 12.
Best college football touchdown picks Week 12
- Bond anytime touchdown (+110 at BetMGM)
Read full analysis of each pick.
Best Week 12 anytime TD picks
TD prop bet #1: Isaiah Bond
Best odds: +110 at BetMGM
With six touchdowns on the year, Isaiah Bond is a target we should always be considering when the Texas Longhorns are primed to put up a lot of points. That’s the case this week, as Texas faces off against an Arkansas Razorbacks team that's allowing 26.3 points per game this year.
More importantly, Arkansas has been dreadful against the passing game. The Razorbacks are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 63.3% of their passes and are giving up 8.3 yards per attempt, both of which are outside the Top 100 among FBS schools.
In other words, Quinn Ewers should be able to shred this secondary for at least a couple of scores. And while Gunnar Helm leads Texas in receptions, and Matthew Golden is tops in the passing game with five receiving touchdowns, it’s Bond who I’m targeting on Saturday.
Bond has six total scores on the year while playing just eight games, which already makes his +110 odds particularly appetizing. He’s also on a two-game streak of scoring touchdowns despite not getting many looks in those contests, but throw in the fact he occasionally is used to break big runs — he hit Florida for 44 yards on a carry last week — and I can’t resist this touchdown prop.
TD prop bet #2: Ja'Corey Brooks
Best odds: -175 at DraftKings
You can take everything I said about the Arkansas defense against Texas and apply it twice as strongly when the Stanford Cardinal try to slow down the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday. Stanford is allowing 34.6 ppg and an average of 268.1 passing yards each week and ranks among the worst in virtually every defensive passing category, allowing an astounding 164.3 QB rating to its opponents.
That means it’s open season for Louisville quarterback Tyler Shough, who's already thrown for 20 touchdowns on the year. The Cardinals have a wide array of passing targets, and it’s unclear how Stanford can guard any of them, let alone all of them.
Chief among those problems is Ja’Corey Brooks, who has eight receiving scores on the year. The senior has caught 48 balls for 841 yards this season and has gone for 100+ yards in three of his last five games. While it’s been two outings since Brooks last found the end zone, I see Louisville scoring at will on Saturday, and that will mean Brooks is an easy pick to contribute.
TD prop bet #3: Dominic Lovett
Best odds: +210 at BetMGM
Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck spreads the ball around, having hit seven different players for touchdown passes on the year, but nobody has more receptions than Dominic Lovett, who has 42 catches for 430 yards and three scores on the year.
Lovett hasn’t been used as a downfield threat for Georgia. Still, the senior wide receiver has remained a key weapon in this Bulldogs offense, often being Beck’s most reliable target. He has at least four receptions in each of Georgia’s last seven games and hasn’t caught the ball less than three times all season long.
That production hasn’t dropped as Georgia has gotten into the meat of its schedule, with two of Lovett’s touchdowns coming in the last five games. In a critical game against the Tennessee Volunteers, one in which Georgia’s playoff hopes might just hang in the balance, there will be big moments where Beck turns to his most steady and experienced option.
Tennessee has been great against the run this year but more vulnerable through the air, which should have Georgia looking to attack via the passing game. That means even more opportunities for Lovett. He’s not a sure thing, but at +210, I love taking a shot on one of the top targets in this offense.
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