Jets vs Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Oilers got better in the offseason, giving Connor McDavid a stronger supporting cast in hopes of making another deep postseason run. That starts tonight as they should hold the Jets' diminished attack at bay.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 9, 2024 • 10:38 ET • 4 min read
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images

The Edmonton Oilers host the Winnipeg Jets at Rogers Place on Wednesday, October 9, and the two clubs couldn’t have had more opposite offseasons.

Edmonton stocked its lineup with secondary scorers, while Winnipeg didn’t replace the bevy of veterans it allowed to walk in free agency.

Our top Jets vs. Oilers predictions and NHL picks are calling for Edmonton to hold Winnipeg’s depleted scoring corps in check tonight.

Jets vs Oilers prediction

My best bet
Jets team total Under 2.5 (+105 at Bet99)

My analysis

The Winnipeg Jets have no supporting cast behind their top scorers, and the Edmonton Oilers have the deepest lineup jumping the boards since superstar Connor McDavid arrived.

Edmonton is going to start on time this season, and that includes carrying over the possession dominance and stingy defense showcased following the hiring of Kris Knoblauch. The Oilers allowed the fifth-fewest goals per 60 minutes (2.16) while ranking third in Corsi For percentage (54.7%) and second in expected goals for percentage (56.9%) at 5-on-5 after Knoblauch took over.

That’s tidy hockey.

On the flip side, Winnipeg watched proven NHLers Tyler Toffoli, Sean Monahan, Nate Schmidt, and Brenden Dillon all walk this summer without adding replacements. The Jets are going to be all right, but that’s a lot of talent to lose, and their lineup is now uber dependent on Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi, and Nikolaj Ehlers to score.

Solid scorers, sure, but Winnipeg is also now far easier to match up against.

Those matchups will also be all the easier for Knoblauch tonight with the advantage of the last change, and I also anticipate Oilers No. 1 Stuart Skinner to have a bounce-back campaign.

Skinner dipped to a .905 save percentage and 0.04 goals saved above average last year after posting respective .913 and 0.24 marks across the prior two seasons. Look for him to rebound and play much closer to those past numbers, with the improvement beginning tonight.

Jets vs Oilers same-game parlay (SGP)

Oilers -1.5

Jets TT Under 2.5

Connor Hellebuyck Over 28.5 saves

The Oilers were third in goals per 60 (3.03) and paced the league in expected goals per 60 (3.17) with Knoblauch calling the shots. 

I expect more of the same from Edmonton tonight, and that includes peppering Winnipeg No. 1 goalie Connor Hellebuyck with shots.

Edmonton led the league in shots per 60 minutes (32.87) and ranked third in both Corsi For percentage and attempts per 60 at 5-on-5 last season, and Hellebuyck ranks Top 5 in both save percentage (.917) and goals saved above average per 60 (0.38) over the past three seasons.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jets vs Oilers odds

Jets vs Oilers live odds

Jets vs Oilers opening odds

  • Puck line: Winnipeg +1.5 (-180) | Edmonton -1.5 (+150)
  • Moneyline: Winnipeg +135 | Edmonton -160
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-125) | Under 6 (+105)

Jets vs Oilers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • There has been limited movement to this moneyline since opening.

  • Edmonton received early action before there was an adjustment back to the Winnipeg side of this moneyline. The Oilers opened at -160 and are trading at -165 as of Wednesday morning.

  • Interestingly, this total has moved in opposite directions, depending on the book. Some opened at 6.5 and dropped to 6.0, while others opened at 6.0 and moved to 6.5.

Jets vs Oilers trend

The Oilers allowed just 2.68 goals per game after hiring Knoblauch. Find more NHL betting trends for Jets vs. Oilers.

Jets vs Oilers game info

Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Date: Wednesday, 10-9-2024
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, TVAS

Jets vs Oilers latest injuries

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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