thorpe

My even more super computer predicts you have a 1.3232 percent chance of being correct.

@AJ86

 A lot of work left for 7-5.  I think they'll take 6-6 and a bowl right now.

@cd329

They lined up for the XP. It was a really bad snap.  The holder had to ad lib.  They had just botched a snap on a chipshot FG, so bad day for their special teams.

How do people think they can write a blank check on the Celtics that the casino will pay off because Miami is "done"?

If you bet big enough you can still win enough with -293.  You are scared of juice because your bankroll is small.  If you bet 2.93 million you win a million, and that should be enough for anyone.  

Can you show me how to underthink something?  is that like Zen gambling?  Let the bets place themselves?  

If you group together coaching and general managing, then it is only Riley and Auerbach (who else?), and Riley has 100000000 times more competition than Red did, and a salary cap, and Riley's been in the game 50 years with success with 3 teams.  And red never played the game.

This is a masterclass on jinxing, and if this was a "reverse jinx" it is next level stuff....either way, 

Celtics live bet them to the end at increasing odds

Who cares what media lowlifes vote?  Players want to win and get paid.  Anyone paying attention to this is not focused enough.

Only thing crazy is your math.  Here is mine.

Leaguewide avg 95% chance to make each XP.  5 XPs firecasted for game.  Raise .95 to 5th power = 77.4%.  

-350 plug into parlay requires = win probabilty 77.8%

Temper your enthusiasm on this one.  I hope you win though.  Goofdl uck

Not going to be that bad.

Game should start with a dry field.  I expect snow to hit around half time.  Should get maybe 4 inches.  North of the stadium will get more snow, that is what is confusing some people.

This is very light wind for a night game, which greatly helps the over.

Take this info for what it is, I am not going to argue the weather. Check in after the game. If I am wrong, I apologize. All of the noobs will be on the Under.  Good luck.  

What weather were you expecting? 65 degrees and calm? 1 to 3 inches is not bad.  15MPH is the minimum wind speed in Orchard Park so that is fantastic for the over.

some nice QBs and RBs made him look good.  

People confuse getting into the playoff with winning it.  It is easier to luck into a playoff spot with other teams choking than to beat the best 2 teams (as a 4 seed, they face the best 2 teams)

I live near Niagara Falls and more than 1 person has lost it all at the casino then went over the Falls....

1) You have a 50/50 chance of surviving.  If you get sucked under the falls, you'll be there for hours and drown.  Otherwise, you have a chance.  If you get rescued, you get arrested and heavily fined.  It would be tough to swim to shore, and you'd shoot some rapids then get caught in a whirlpool, but possible.

2) A lot of guys wade out near the falls and lose their nerve and have to get rescued, which sucks for the rescuers.

There is tons of player movement so you wouldn't want to go to press too early in the offseason, then you get the supply chain excuses. Don't they have a PDF you can buy?

This is a good time to quit.   It is not the same now that it is legal and acceptable and splashed all over ESPN.  I liked it when hardly anyone knew what the spread on a game was...back in the day I felt you could find an underrated team and bet them the whole season because they were a secret. Or you could watch the local papers for injury reports on the QB, read between the lines what the coach says. I am sure there are  "snitches" now on every campus getting paid for inside info on the team.