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Excellent deep dive analysis and write-up A-99!! Solid counter point volley to Beginner Boy as well. |
andarmac99 | 51 |
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Don Juan..I def remember you. Great to see you back kicking and fighting at a ripe, young 81. I would like to add one note re: the NFC championship game which it seems almost no one is mentioning. Virtually every pundit is zeroing in Campbell's 4th down risk eschewing a 45 yard FG but did anyone notice that after young Gibbs fumbled early in the 3rd they simply stopped running the rock. 8 running plays in the ENTIRE 2nd H. They were ave. 6.9 ypc and punching the 49'ers in the mouth the entire first half. That, IMHO, is what lost them the game! 1ST H 21 RUNNING PLAYS FOR 145 YARDS. 2ND H 8 RUNNING PLAYS FOR 37 YARDS |
don juan | 143 |
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Once Swifty sees Jason (Kelce) licking his lips after those Pinty's wings it will be game over.
She will run off with him and add another sponsor to the FIX IS IN SB party! |
dukerules01 | 56 |
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When you spell "week" in that context like that it's probably the right call |
HappyPicks | 17 |
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I hope that was tongue 'n cheek humor referring to the adverse weather inquiry that lady reporter posed to Todd Bowles. |
Ihatebengals | 25 |
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Indigo...Always enjoy your input.
LOVE the PEG play and normally I would like the EDM coming off last week's beatdown courtesy of WPG but if Chris Jones has his defense ready it is not a big # to cover against the porous Esks "D". TOR owns BC esp. in BC's house and I see MacBeth (as I have dubbed him) being a perfect gamer as T.O.'s QB1 in this role except Wilder is out so that means all bets off for me.The Argos simpy do not have a back to replace what he brings to their game. Enjoy the tilts esp. our Thanksgiving Day games which makes for a great Monday of football! We get a trifecta on both US and CDN. turdunken days this year!
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Indigo999 | 30 |
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Indigo....love your weekly contribution. Sidenotes-Westerman is a 33 y.o. DE/DT who played a few years with the NFL Jets and is quite adept at the DE position and, I am certain, you recall 4.25 40m speedy 30 y.o. WR Chris Williams whom the Ticats had in his earliest CFL tenure, where he set all kinds of records as a wideout and ST returner, until a contractual gaffe by his agent rep freed him whereupon he tried his hand in the big league and then came back to Ottawa. He is currently nursing a hammy but if he gets healthy and on the same page as Masoli....look out! |
Indigo999 | 31 |
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Powerz,
OTT has only covered a number that big ONCE in their last 7 visits TO MONTREAL. At home it has been a totally different story. Just a FYI when laying almost 7 as road chalk. The Hammer is in a similar situ vs. a Western team. |
Indigo999 | 44 |
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North-Japan,
Welcome to the insanity of betting the CFL. One more valuable tip if I may. Many uninitiated fans either hear or partake in the false rumor that the CFL is an OVER league for those that bet totals. That couldn't be any further from the truth. Last year was only 56% to the UNDER but the 6 years previous were 67-74% to the UNDER. I track it every year and have been capping this game for about 15+ years now. If you get into it and watch a vast % of the games you will find a good handicapper can hold a virtually 10% better average in this game over the NFL...very similar #'s to US college ball!
Wish you well!
xfl |
North-Japan | 4 |
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Bowmans Addict-funny you shouldbring up that topic. I wrote a letter to CFL Commish Randy Ambrosie just today asking that very question and I received a response already from an assistant in communications. I know you are going to love this political smokescreen she fed me but here goes:
"Hi Mike;
Thank you for contacting the CFL!
The schedule is always a bit of a Rubiks cube – there are lots of ways we’d like to tweak it, but there many factors that go into making it, many of which are out of our control. Stadium availability (including in stadiums where CFL teams are not the primary tenant), team preference, player health and safety, competitive balance, broadcast preferences (which are contractual obligations), competing events (as you mention), weather, fan preferences, and historical results – just to name a few. All of these mean that it’s not always possible to have games at the same time or day every week, or from year to year.
However, we’re always having discussions internally and with our partners who have a say in scheduling – on this issue and many others concerning what an optimal schedule looks like and how we can all work together with those partners to improve it. I’ll pass along your feedback!
Thanks for being a fan, and I hope you’re looking forward to the Grey Cup as much as we are. Best, -c"
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freakyfreddies | 5 |
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BB WR Adams is OUT as well
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Indigo999 | 9 |
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AMEN TO THAT!
ESKS +750 TO WIN GREY CUP!
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grayposse | 3 |
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I have Kelso Sturgeons Oct. games and he is on a 12-3-1 run in pro and college since Oct.1st. For what it is worth he LOVES Auburn today as his biggest play of the month (300 units) and predicts they win by 28.. Last night he called BOTH huge upsets.
Thank you for your excellent insight.
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blowoutgm | 111 |
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Golden Tate OVER 62.5 yards -110 to win 100
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Eddy_Winslow | 18 |
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Aussie Down Under....well done. I am enjoying another stellar season and have been hammering the under (see my thread on that) though last week hit 3-1 on the OVER.
CAL has been an UNREAL ROAD DOG going 14-3 and this week I see good value on HAM playing out there getitng close to 6. HAM has played well historically against CAL and in CAL and I see a slight letdown with the Stamps this week....esp. after shellacking what might have been the best D in their own house! I was on WPG all 3 wins before the bye- ALL AS DOGS,TOO. I believe they are the real deal in ost aspects of the game and always felt Nicolls would morph into a deceny QB1 in this league. So suffice to say I like them coming off a bye and again getting 4 pts. or I may buy it to 4 if req'd.. Also like BC getting points tonite in a bounceback though OTT is a better team with Harris at the helm. Enjoy the Tilts
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AussieDownUnder | 16 |
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Captfyre98, sandyman, eastcoast305........Thank you gents
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xflrejects | 4 |
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I have been avidly capping the NFL for close to 35 years and the CFL about 15-16 years now.
Totals has always been an interest of mine. I know many of our American frends who know of our game and prolly a good few Canadians believe this league to be an "AUTOMATIC" over but nothing could be furher from the truth. In fact in the last 5 years the league has been playing to the UNDER at a very profitable rate.In 2012 and 2013 the CFL played to the under about 65 and 67.5 % respectively. IT GETS BETTER. Even with the crazy "rouge"-one point excuse the pun I'd love to see gone whereby the receiving team yields a point to the kicking team if they cannot come out of their own end zone on a punt, kick of FG attempt-in 2014 the linesmakers thought they had this UNDER run nipped knowing full well "sharp" CFL totals players were making a killing. In fact early out of the gates that year one saw crazy low totals the likes of never seen in recent CFL years where the pencil sharpeners were cutting as much as 3 1/2 - 4 1/2 points off a game and they were still playing to the UNDER. Games that normally would have been pegged at 51 were taken down to 47.5/48 and many 53/54 reg. totals were posted at 50-51. I recall thinking I have never seen so many totals in the 40's in the CFL. Guess what? The league played to an unparalleled 73.4 % to the UNDER on the entire 2014 campaign. Perhaps due to rule changes or a regression back to the norm but 2015 saw totals set back to were we were used to seeing them. Yet the league still played to a 67.8 % UNDER all of last year! Here we are in 2016 and I had noticed the league had played to 3-1 the last 5 weeks to the UNDER. I have been personally hammering many unders and it was interesting to note that the team with the best "D" in the league has played in the only OVER 3 weeks in a row as of last night's wild finish in B.C. 45-37 for the home team Lions who barely vanquished another unbelievable 2nd H Tabbie and Zach Colleros comeback. (It was literally a comeback for the veteran Ticat QB1 who had not played a game since SEPT.19TH 2015). So I ran the #'s for the whole year being just past the 1/3 mark of the campaign and sure enough the UNDER is hitting at a 71.88% clip so far to date. Most readers in here know what a 60% steady run will do with good bankroll management. Well you are looking at a perennial 5 year run that has held close to 70%!! You know what to do when you hear the usual banter from our colleagues south of the 49th parallel lauding the automatic OVER that is the CFL. Perception truly can be everything.....
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xflrejects | 4 |
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AMEN ON BOTH BLOOD
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Beningo88 | 20 |
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Glyde--hope u rebound F-A-S-T!
Tough games to cap for so many reasons and do not have time to leave even short write-ups but I have logged in my time this week and here are my plays: (11-5 ATS/totals) +23 units so far this playoffs * =UNITS NE-3 (buy to 2.5) 5* UNDER 44.5 3* NE 27-16 AZ +3.5 4* (SIA AND BOVADA) (buy up to 4 if price is short) OVER 46.5 7* AZ ML 2* AZ 27-24 GET BETTER MAN! (If you don't at least you will have monopoly on all the cheese and veggie dips this Sunday)
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glyde69 | 94 |
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Glyde,
Trust you are well ! 33-17 ATS to date on my Supercontest picks. Here is my card today. NYJ -2.5 MIN-1 INDY +6 TB +6 CAR-7 TOTALS: CAR UNDER 44 JETS UNDER 40 OAK OVER 45.5 IND OVER 47.5 Wishing you well and enjoy your Sunday, brother! |
glyde69 | 43 |
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