The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Chase Field on Sunday afternoon looking to get back on track against their division rival.
The Dodgers have won four in a row and our Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks predictions are expecting a ton of offense as they look to extend that streak to five games. Read more in our MLB picks below.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks prediction
My best bet
Over 9.5 (+110 at ESPN BET)
My analysis
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks are two of the most profitable Over teams in baseball this season. The Over is 75-56-5 for Arizona and 71-61-3 for Los Angeles.
Those trends pick up even more when these two teams play each other. The first two games of this series had 19 and 14 runs, marking the fifth straight meeting with at least 11 total runs. Dating back to May 20, seven of the eight matchups have gone Over 9.5 runs, but it’s not just the trends we’re betting on here.
The Dodgers are expected to start Justin Wrobleski on Sunday afternoon. The young left-hander is 1-1 with 13 earned runs in 25 innings (4.68 ERA) in five starts this season. He’s allowed multiple runs in all but one of his outings and most recently allowed four runs in five innings against the Cardinals two weeks ago.
Wrobleski doesn’t exactly have a great track record either. Despite some success at Double-A Tulsa this year (5-2, 3.06 ERA), he's 0-2 with a 5.26 ERA in five starts at Triple-A.
Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt has also been hit or miss this season and it appears he’s wearing down a bit. After going 4-6 with a 3.74 ERA in his first 20 starts, the right-hander has a 6.29 ERA (24 ER in 34 1/3 IP) in his last six starts since July 27. Funny enough, he's picked up four wins despite that.
Both bullpens are pretty gassed, as well. The Dodgers used seven pitchers on Friday after Clayton Kershaw left early with an injury, and their pen had to cover four innings on Saturday, too. Arizona’s bullpen has also been used up with 8 1/3 IP over the last two games.
Shohei Ohtani pick: Sho me the way
My best bet
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBI (-105 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Shohei Ohtani continues to show why he’s one of the best players in the world. He homered for the second straight game last night while driving in two runs. He now has 44 home runs, 107 runs scored, and 98 RBI on the season. He can hit this line in any number of ways as he’s shown throughout the season.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Corbin Carroll leads off for the Diamondbacks and has turned it on after a slow start. He scored his 99th run of the season last night despite scoring just 26 runs through the end of May. Since then, however, he scored 21 runs in June, 22 in July, and 30 in August.
Ohtani has great numbers off Pfaadt (albeit in a small sample size) and is a threat every time he steps up to the plate. He’s gone Over 1.5 TB in 56% of games this season, including six of his last eight.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks odds
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks live odds
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks opening odds
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -105 | Arizona -115
- Run line: Los Angeles +1.5 (-180) | Arizona -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- The Dodgers are slight road underdogs at +100 as of early Sunday morning after opening at -104.
- The Diamondbacks have moved from -112 at opening to as high as -118.
- The total opened at a flat 9 but has moved up to 9.5 at a few books.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks trend
The Dodgers have gone Over the total in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.45 units / 21% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks game info
Location: | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ |
Date: | Sunday, 9-1-2024 |
First pitch: | 4:10 p.m. ET |
TV: | Roku |
Dodgers starting pitcher: | Justin Wrobleski (1-1, 4.68 ERA) |
Diamondbacks starting pitcher: | Brandon Pfaadt (8-7, 4.31 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks latest injuries
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks weather
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