Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

The Giants are playing with pride in the waning days of the season and have staff ace Logan Webb on the bump tonight. Expect another strong start from him vs. the Diamondbacks.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 24, 2024 • 11:20 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
AZ
64 %
SF
36 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Logan Webb Over 17.5 outs recorded (-152) Logan Webb Over 17.5 outs recorded (-152)
Read Analysis
San Francisco Giants MLB Logan Webb
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are looking to play spoiler against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Tuesday night. San Francisco sits at one game under .500 (78-79) while Arizona holds a 1.5-game lead over Atlanta for the final Wild Card spot.

The Giants have won four straight games and six of their past seven — all against likely playoff teams — while the Diamondbacks have now dropped two straight. 

Confidence should be brimming in the San Fran locker room with Logan Webb toeing the rubber tonight, and he’s at the forefront of my Giants vs. Diamondbacks predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, September 24.

Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction

My best bet
Logan Webb Over 17.5 outs recorded (-152 at FanDuel)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

San Francisco Giants pitcher Logan Webb will likely be making his final start of the season tonight vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks. Webb is 12-10 with a 3.58 ERA on the season and fared well in his lone start against the Diamondbacks this year. 

Webb threw seven shutout innings of two-hit ball against the Diamondbacks on April 18 for his second win of the season. He’s been a workhorse all year long for the Giants, so seeing his outs total at just 17.5 seems a bit low.

Sure, Webb may not have reached this number in his last two outings, going just four innings against the Padres and five against the Orioles, but it’s not as if the Giants have a shorter leash on him. He threw 83 and 96 pitches, respectively, in those starts and won’t take it easy against the Snakes in Arizona.

Webb has gone at least six innings (18 outs) in 23 of his 32 starts this season (71.87%). He’s also gone 6+ innings in his last five starts against the Diamondbacks dating back to last season, including a full seven innings in four of those outings.

I'm taking the Over here with odds of just -152 (60.32% implied probability).

Giants vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)

Logan Webb 5+ strikeouts

Giants F5 -0.5

Giants moneyline

If Webb is able to go at least six innings, he should be able to get at least five strikeouts on the ledger. He’s racked up 5+ Ks in 20 of 32 starts, including in that seven-inning start against the Diamondbacks in April.

The Giants are on a roll right now and we’re getting a good underdog price here. I’ll back them to play spoiler once again tonight in Arizona, with Webb helping them snare an early lead.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Giants vs Diamondbacks odds

Giants vs Diamondbacks live odds

Giants vs Diamondbacks opening odds

  • Moneyline: San Francisco +122 | Arizona -144
  • Run line: San Francisco +1.5 (-176) | Arizona -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-122) | Under 7.5 (+100)

Giants vs Diamondbacks moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Giants are road underdogs around +125 and haven’t moved much since opening at +122.
  • In turn, the Diamondbacks odds haven’t moved much since their -144 opening and are now between -143 and -150.
  • The total opened at 7.5 with the Over favored but has moved up to a flat 8 across the board.

Giants vs Diamondbacks trend

The Giants have hit the moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Diamondbacks.

Giants vs Diamondbacks game info

Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Tuesday, 9-24-2024
First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSBA, ARID
Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
(12-10, 3.53 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
(9-9, 4.81 ERA)

Giants vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Giants vs Diamondbacks weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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