Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today’s MLB Game

With their four-game winning streak snapped, the Toronto Blue Jays look to start another as Chris Bassitt toes the rubber vs. Quinn Priester. Given how good Bassitt has been of late, our MLB picks expect the Pirates offense to be limited in the series finale.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Jun 2, 2024 • 08:18 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Toronto Blue Jays had their four-game win streak snapped on Saturday but will look to bounce back against the Pittsburgh Pirates as Chris Bassitt takes the mound.

My Jays vs. Pirates predictions focus on today's starting pitching matchup of Chris Bassitt vs. Quinn Priester.

Find out if Bassitt can deliver in my MLB picks for Pirates vs. Blue Jays on Sunday, June 2.

Pirates vs Blue Jays prediction

My best bet
Pirates team total Under 3.5 runs (-117 at PROLINE+)

My analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates broke through offensively on Saturday with an 8-1 win thanks to a pair of two-run homers from Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan Reynolds as they snapped the Toronto Blue Jays’ four-game win streak. It also marked Pittsburgh’s first win against Toronto in their last 10 meetings.

Chris Bassitt will get the ball for Toronto on Sunday as he looks to get the Jays back on track and extend his personal win streak to three games. The right-hander has held the opposition off the board in each of his past two outings — a span of 12 combined innings — while allowing three earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts.

The Pirates, who rank 22nd in the majors in runs per game (4.05), have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five outings and look to be in tough against the right-handed Bassitt.

Pittsburgh is batting just .223 against right-handed pitching this season – the fifth-worst mark in the MLB – and could be poised for another low-scoring effort if Bassitt can give the Jays another quality start.

Blue Jays star player prop

My best bet
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI (+145 at PROLINE+)

After finishing the month of May with an impressive .357 batting average, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. started June off on the right foot with a 2-for-3 showing at the plate against the Pirates. While Vladdy hasn’t recorded an RBI in five straight games, I’ll look for him to get off the schneid and drive in a run this afternoon.

Guerrero’s numbers are far from eye-popping on paper with just 25 RBI in 57 games this season, but he’s due for a breakout sooner rather than later. The Jays slugger ranks in the 99th percentile across the majors in terms of hard hit % (59.1) and in the 98th percentile in average exit velocity (94.1).

If he keeps making good contact, the production is bound to come.

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Pirates vs Blue Jays odds

Pirates vs Blue Jays live odds

Pirates vs Blue Jays opening odds

  • Run line: Pittsburgh +1.5 (-145) | Toronto -1.5 (+120)
  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh +147 | Toront0 -160
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Pirates vs Blue Jays spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Jays opened as the home favorite at around -160 with the Pirates coming in at +130. Toronto is 6-4 in its last 10 games while Pittsburgh is 4-5 in its last nine outings.
  • Toronto has historically dominated this matchup, winning nine of its last 10 meetings vs Pittsburgh.
  • Most books had the total set at 8.5 runs by Saturday night, with the Over going 7-2 in Pittsburgh’s last nine contests and 3-1 in the last four meetings between the two clubs.
  • However, the Under is 4-1 in Chris Bassitt’s last five starts while the Blue Jays starter owns a 2.40 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over that span.

Pirates vs Blue Jays trend

The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Toronto. Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Blue Jays

Pirates vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Sunday, 6-2-2024
First pitch: 1:37 p.m. ET
TV: SNP, Sportsnet
Pirates starting pitcher: Quinn Priester
(0-4, 4.33 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
(5-6, 4.03 ERA)

Pirates vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Pirates vs Blue Jays weather

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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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