Mavericks vs Nets Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Green is Money From Downtown

The Mavericks are looking to pick up another road win over the underachieving and hobbling Nets on Tuesday night, and our NBA betting picks believe they'll do so with a barrage of outside shots.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
Feb 6, 2024 • 16:21 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Dallas Mavericks picked up an all-important win in Philadelphia on Monday night after a crushing collapse against the Bucks over the weekend, and now they’ll set out to pick up a second straight road win when they travel to Brooklyn on Tuesday.

Can the Mavs find a way through a struggling Brooklyn Nets team as favorites in the NBA odds, or will their flaws continue to be exposed?

Let's get right into it with our in-depth preview and NBA picks for Mavericks vs. Nets on Tuesday, February 6.

Mavericks vs Nets odds

Mavericks vs Nets predictions

For all I said about the Dallas Mavericks above, the Brooklyn Nets are a team with plenty of issues as well. They’re just 20-29 on the season and 12-14 at home. Despite a few wins over their past five games, their form appears a bit better than it should given the strength of schedule over the last couple of weeks.

The fact remains that this is nothing more than a middling team defensively. They rank 11th in efficiency over the last 10 games, but much of that has been due to facing poor offensive teams — including a Sixers side which was without a plethora of its top scorers over the weekend.

Brooklyn has been particularly bad against the 3-ball, allowing 38.2% of shots to fall from deep this season according to Cleaning the Glass. While the Nets have been solid inside, that won’t move the needle much against a Dallas side which lives and dies by the outside shot.

The Mavericks are taking a stunning 42.2% of their shots from 3-point range, and hitting on an excellent 38% of them. They’ve struggled a bit to shoot on the road, but with Kyrie Irving and Maxi Kleber returning from injury, they should be able to maintain their shooting efficiency.

I’m normally pretty concerned about the Mavericks’ defense, but the Nets have had a hard time scoring the ball this year. They’ve been a lot like Dallas in that they’ve relied on outside shooting, but the tough news here is that while the Mavs have been a poor defensive side, they’ve done their best work on the perimeter and have been more vulnerable inside.

I like the Mavericks here to make a statement with a big win on the second night of a back-to-back against a far inferior team.

My best bet: Mavericks -4 (-110 at DraftKings)

Mavericks vs Nets same-game parlay

Mavericks -4

Mikal Bridges 3+ made 3s

Josh Green 2+ made 3s

When these two sides last met back in October, we saw Luka Doncic drop 49 in a memorable performance which saw Dallas come away with a late come-from-behind win. Both teams shot he lights out from deep, as expected, with Brooklyn knocking down 48.8% of looks and Dallas nearly 42%. It’s no surprise given the respective strengths and weaknesses of these teams, and I like that trend to continue here.

With that, let’s bet on some triples. The Nets won’t have Cam Johnson here, who’s out with an adductor injury, and they won’t have Lonnie Walker or Dorian Finney-Smith, either. That means we’re going to see a lot of Mikal Bridges, who played 42 minutes on Monday night, and given his volume from downtown over the last four games and his three 3-pointers in the last meeting between these teams, I like him to knock down a few here.

Finally, I’m a bit perplexed by this number on Josh Green. He’s a 40% shooter on the year from outside, and he’s ben handed 33.7 minutes per game over the last eight contests. The Nets have struggled against the 3-ball, and this is the second night of a back-to-back, so I think there’s a chance that Jason Kidd relies a bit more on his younger guns here.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Mavericks vs Nets spread and Over/Under analysis

The Mavericks are up there in Pace this season, and they should control the proceedings here, so I’m inclined to believe that they’ll find a way to push the tempo here and threaten the Over. While I have my doubts about the Nets’ offense without the names I’ve mentioned above, it should ultimately hurt them on the defensive end — which is far more important to this handicap given Brooklyn’s lackluster offensive numbers all year.

I think Dallas should get an abundance of open looks from outside, and in an up-tempo game this really has a chance to get of hand for a normally-decent Nets defense.

However, with so many injuries in the backcourt on the other side of the ball, I believe there will be more of an onus on scoring inside against a Mavericks team that has been one of the worst in the NBA at defending the rim. Brooklyn still has Nic Claxton, and some slashers like Bridges. I think the conditions for offense here are great.

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Mavericks vs Nets betting trend to know

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Nets.

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Mavericks vs Nets game info

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Date: Tuesday, February 6, 2024
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports, SW-DAL

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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