Avalanche vs Wild Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Fleury & Co. Offer Value at Plus Money

With veteran netminder Marc-Andre Fleury boasting impressive career stats against Colorado, Tony Satori's latest NHL handicap is backing Minnesota as home dogs on Friday. Read more in our Avalanche vs. Wild betting picks.

Tony Sartori - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Nov 23, 2023 • 11:38 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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NHL odds resume on Friday as the Minnesota Wild host the Colorado Avalanche on TNT in a Central Division tilt.

Minnesota has fared better than most teams against Colorado over the past couple of seasons, winning three of the past five meetings.

Will the Wild take care of business once again, or can the Avs secure a road victory? Find out in our free NHL picks for Avalanche vs. Wild on November 24.

Avalanche vs Wild odds

Avalanche vs Wild predictions

The way that the Minnesota Wild can end their five-game losing streak is to rely on the defense to slow down the Colorado Avalanche and turn this into a coin-flip game. At 5-on-5, the Wild rank 10th in the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60), which is three spots higher than the Avs.

If Minnesota is suppressing high-danger scoring chances at even strength, then how is it ranked 30th in the league in goals allowed per game? The answer is simple: the penalty-killing unit is off to a historically poor start.

With that said, perhaps the Wild can get away with their terrible special teams against Colorado, a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in power play percentage. Another problem for Minnesota has been its goaltending, but that has also been an issue for the Avalanche.

Alexandar Georgiev is already confirmed as the starter for Colorado, while Marc-Andre Fleury is slated to get the nod across the ice. Both guys have equally struggled this season as they both own a GAA north of three and a SV% south of .895.

However, there are a few reasons to like Fleury more in this spot, as the veteran netminder ranks higher than Georgiev in goals saved above expected per 60 minutes (GSAx/60) at 5-on-5.

Over his past 13 starts against Colorado, Fleury also owns a 7-5-1 record with a .908 SV% and 2.55 GAA. On the other hand, Georgiev is 3-3 with a .900 SV% and 3.31 GAA through six career starts against Minnesota.

My best bet: Wild moneyline (+120 at bet365)

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Avalanche vs Wild same-game parlay

Wild moneyline

Under 6.5

As I've already alluded to, a lower-scoring game would bode well for a Minnesota team that is looking to put an end to its five-game losing streak. Both teams are also strong defensively as they both rank in the top half of the league in xGA/60 at 5-on-5.

The Wild’s main issue defensively is the penalty kill, but the Avs’ power play unit has been below average to begin this campaign. We are also catching a high total here because neither goaltender has been playing well, but both Fleury and Georgiev are better than their stats suggest, and each possess solid track records against their opponent.

Additionally, there have been six or fewer total goals scored in four of the past five meetings between these two teams.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Avalanche vs Wild moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Avalanche opened as a –150 favorite and have since been bet down to -140. I suspect this line will only continue to shrink as we get closer to puck drop, primarily because I think the market recognizes that Minnesota losing its sixth straight in a home game against a divisional opponent is a tough sell.

That brings us to the total, which opened at 6.5 and remains at that number. If you like the Under, then I would play it sooner rather than later. Due to the solid goaltending matchup, this number still has the potential to move half a point down to 6.

Avalanche vs Wild betting trend to know

Minnesota has won three of the past five meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Wild.

Avalanche vs Wild game info

Location: Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul's, MN
Date: Friday, November 24, 2023
Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

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