BetFriends

Good luck this week, TD, and as always -- thanks for sharing 

 Thanks for the post TD, and great to see you back again this year.

Would love to know what else you're on too, but only if you have time.

GL this season 

@undermysac

 I read somewhere back in May that whoever owns FO now hadn't paid the writers/contributors in months, and that played a role in Aaron's departure. Apparently no one was doing any more work there til they got paid, which is why there hadn't been updates for ages. With the site now gone completely, that makes sense.

None of this is first-hand info, mind you, just stuff I picked up in gossip on the blue bird (now X) site.

@LonghornHoosier

 Being 'woke' means adhering to the belief that the most important aspect of a person is their race and/or sexuality, and that human beings can be easily categorized into wholesale 'oppressor' and 'victim' categories with no nuance or regard for personal histories or character. It means believing that every rich black child from an affluent, safe home is always 'worse off' than any white child from a broken home where physical and/or sexual abuse is common -- that the latter's 'white privilege' means they still 'have it better' than the former, no matter the circumstances of their respective lives. It means constantly reframing every aspect of society through the lens of 'white/hetero = inherently bad", 'POC/gay/trans = inherently virtuous and anything they do wrong is the fault of a white person, somewhere"

Privilege, oppression, and class warfare all Marxist ideas, and none of you is saying anything more than word-for-word quotes straight from 1950s Soviet textbooks. World War I proved Marx wrong, yet there's still a culture of pseudointellectuals who believe they've got the inside straight on how the world 'really' works, a.k.a 'woke.'

Now, however, thanks to the actions of smug, self-satisfied ideologues, 'woke' has also become a pejorative. You may not like that, but that's how language works -- a fact you're usually happy to point to when arguing why someone's subjective desire to be perceived as something they're not is 'language evolving.'

Don't presume to talk down on people exercising independent thought. Reframing everyone who disagrees with your pigeon-holing of the world as 'bigots' no longer works.

@Ilost

Your reaction to one day of losing demonstrates you have neither disposable income nor maturity for gambling. Anyone who can react this badly to a 24-hr outing should get as far away from wagering as possible.

Whether 'Truth_' is just your alias or an even bigger idiot, this mutual knob-rubbing doesn't make you 'two' look any more mature. You can rant at Train all you like: in a week he won't remember you, not a faceless avatar, and he won't care whether you made money off his loss or whether you're shitting yourself in the street.

Emotional fades are for chumps. A bad run doesn't mean a guy 'loses every time', and your emotional need to see him lose going forward won't make your blind fades of him any more than 50% per game. So that plan is dogshit.

But then, when your response to a wagering argument is to tell someone to 'vote Biden' if they can't 'handle truth', it's pretty clear where you've been receiving your wisdom the last 5+ years. That's not an endorsement of Biden at all, but it IS an acknowledgement that you've been well-trained in another brand of politics, one that says reality is whatever you want it to be and anyone who calls you out on your shit must be a Democrat. Good luck applying that ding-dong strategy here. 

Be sure to update us in a month how your rage-and-fade mission is going 

'little kids who don’t know how to manage their bankroll'
'I'll throw out a bone'

Surely, you can't be legit surprised at the responses 

Whether people believe you or not, know you or not, this is still a promotion thread, and as such attracts a certain response. Tout threads tend to buy more trolling than trophies and high-fives.

Anyway, good luck this week 

@BWS77

 I damn near spat my drink all over the keyboard 

Something that just occurred to me reading this thread: point shaving only negatively affects a section of bettors in any one game, not all; for every guy that gets robbed by a ref, an opposite bettor cashes.

Doesn't make it right in the slightest, but for those of us at home concerned about it, it seems to me it's reasonable to say that it's a coinflip whether or not a) your particular is game today is rigged and b) whether the rigging is for you or against you.

It's possible it evens out in the long run, just like a coin?

Vegas doesn't 'lose' any night, the outcomes of the games only matter to us - the idea that 'Vegas' needs X or Y to cover on any given night is a myth that book promoters and touts are happy to feed because it drums up more business from non-professionals.

Rant aside (lol) good luck on the games tonight 

Then she gives you the rusty trombone 

Except for all the other games we ignore because the results don't fit our confirmation bias for what is/isn't 'sharp' money.

There's no world in which +2.5 makes sense, game of the year or otherwise. Either buy the hook to +3 to avoid this sort of loss, or sell the hook to +2 to get better odds for the same useless points.

Something like 4% of football games end on 1 or 2, the rest are 3+, so it makes no sense to pay the bookmaker's rake on a useless +2.5.

Also, trying to fade the imaginary 'public' is no better than flipping coins. Those public money charts are filled with assumptions based on incomplete data, and are not a complete snapshot of the betting market. Cap the teams and compare the market to your own spreads. That's the only way to get an edge.

Better luck on the next plays 

Bookmaker.eu is the best/safest option, unless you're in a jurisdiction where you can use Pinnacle. If not, BM is next best thing.

@Groncovar

 If any of that was true, you'd never need to sell the info - nor would you want to.

So 

Thanks, as always, TD  Let's roll 

No better/worse than any of the other 'Vegas' touts. Same image, business model, etc.

He's a wannabe monarch who couldn't even get his own insurrection right.

Failed on coronavirus; tried to take credit for a vaccine he railed against from the start; lost the election by scaring his base off mail-in ballots when they were all stuck at home.

America needs a strong new Republican candidate, an actual patriot, not this Ponzi scheming clown whose entire real estate career is a list of Chapter 11s and stiffed employees. The loser even failed in Atlantic City, a town begging to give your casino its money.

@LonghornHoosier

You'll never stop people asking this at the start of each new season; trying to do so is chasing the illusion of control.

Take it from someone who used to blow his stack at every person 'ruining' something -- it's really a waste of time and energy, and the post you're furious at today will be replaced by another just like it tomorrow. Scroll by, let it be - and breathe. 

You've obviously never heard of TD21, Blowoutgm, bookieassassin, etc. -- odd for someone who's been here since 2009. Sounds more like you selectively tailed and then blamed solid cappers for isolated swings.