yknot

@vanzack

 hey dumbass   where did I take KC -9?   Dumbshit.   I own you!!

Would love to discuss high probability wagers, unfortunately I cant recommend a Knuckle sandwich until the KC outcome is Final.

Lots and lots of reasons to really like NYG.  If They win outright we will have another qb earn his stripes (Name)  This is for blood, take the guy with blood in his eye.

Gmen NYG + the points  3 units

Gment out right ML  1 unit.

If KC Covers 9.5,

Its hammer time on Gmen  5 unit knuckle sandwich.  Results of this outcome skewed due to QB injury on the Shoe.  Going to stick with probable mirror   GMEN!

Another profitable year?  You started posting in Oct.....

@Duderonomy

 There are those that might share the same advice with you...  Just like your comment about Saragain, some believe the same way about your handicapping approach.  It is outdated and you are wasting your time with it.  The OP will be just as accurate on his picks with his system of approach as you will be with your system approach.  Quite frankly you are both taking a fixed win % approach, and it will never be profitable.  Good week  bad week, all depends on the rhythm of the games.   
If they want your pattern, they will have it, and bet no good.

In other words your destiny is already determined before you even bet.  This is because what you do is Patternable.  
I am sure you will catch one of my tapes on this topic, at somepoint.


GL to ya players, hope the pattern falls your way today!

Excellent.  Well done,  except both teams wont cover.  That would be poor lines making.  Otherwise dead nuts on !!

Very Much agree!  

I felt he was a cross from Elway and Manning Body type and facial features.  Not quite Mr. Ed, and not really a Mr Rogers, so

Mr Lewis fit perfectly

You can simply refer to him as Lewis!

@Duderonomy

 It is the most important weapon in handicapping or setting of a line.  The QB.  I use names for QBs who have displayed thoroughbred qualities.  I like a good horse with my money.

I have done write ups on the Golden Horse shoe, for many years. That name is not new.   Last week, I had pledged to name one of the youngsters coming out of the wildcard game between Herbert and Lawrence.   Lawrence won and so earned his thouroughbreds name as an official NFL Horse.  Mr. Lewis.

Wasnt Buffalo Bob in Silence of the Lambs?

@ActionMagnet

 Silly lines makers, they real missed this one huh.  Great deal you got there.
Best O luck to ya.

Did you tease them too?  I mean yknot, so much better then dallas, just a measly 4 points.  

One of the better writeups.  There is a whole lot more to it then whats been described, but you are correct and on the right capping path.  

The Shoe can not be anchored because there is no one to anchor to...

There is an IED (teaser buster) planted somewhere on this card.  I have reduced it to 3 or 75%, by selecting Mahomes and Reed, but quite frankly, no other teams are in a trusted spot to connect.    Best approach one could take is to wait for the outcome of KC game and then you know who to pound in 2nd game.  Behavioral betting pattern.  They are clipping at a very high rate.  Last loss was Utah in rose bowl on this specific pattern.  It a Mirror affect.  You can bet on it!

@Duderonomy

 No such thing as value.  Nothing is on sale.  

Playoffs-

Interesting matchup no?   Hats off to Mr. Lewis for beating out the other youngster last week and earning his thoroughbred status. Well done Mr. Lewis!  And so now its onto Arrowhead for the Mighty Jags.
What awaits is none to pretty.   The Golden Horse Shoe and Mr. Reed...   What a future spitting image, of what success can look like.

In KC we have a future HOF QB and HC.   Do we have that someday in Mr. Lewis and his Commanding Officer?  Only time tells but Big Doug has his resume well positioned, and Mr. Lewis is out of the gates nicely, so there is that chance.  
But the top two Generals in this Game, Maaaaahome (Horse shoe)  and General Reed, is an important handicapping variable, especially when we take into account +10 rest.  These two are tops in the Business with some rest.  Deep with experience, and at Home.
Thats worth the almighty sword in Lines making  -7.

Things to like about the puppy Jags.    Great HC and QB.  Unique HC situation having coached and played under Reed.  Huge + for Jags.
One might say the weather expected in this game would favor a more balanced run approach in Jags.  Clearly they are on a Momentum run.  Bit if a freight train no?...  

Things not so in favor of these cute puppies.   Again, a future HOF HC and QB at home as #1 seed, supporting DATA that says they really good on rest, really good with rest is been an A Reed stat for long time.   Jags scheduling really hurts them at this point , and also victim of circumstance.  Many of you who follow my teachings, know Scheduling is my largest handicapping factor, and coming back from 27- to win by 1 in a home playoff game to go on road to face HOF HC & QB who were watching you play... and already played you.   Advantages.  Now this

In that game vs KC, Jags had a +3 TO margin and got blown out..  Dude,  not only did they get 3 gifts on the road at KC, they also caught a flat KC,  in a look ahead spot with a trip to SD divisonal the following week. and just came out of a big Physical with Tenn the week before.  Scheduling scheduling.    Those are major advantages for the Jags in that spot and they still got throttled.  
Remember at that time, Tenn was rolling and tops in their Division, and SD was the fly in KC HF, hence the look ahead on that day vs Jags, who at the time were shit awful record.    And they still got tanked.

Coming back down by 27 to win, has some horrible trend affects on Jags. You can go look those up.  That big of a comeback in Baseball, is a fantastic trend to win Cash the next day betting against.  

No no,  The Golden Horse Shoe wins this one. Mr. Lewis will have to earn his starts, and Doug will be just fine.
The Shoe Wins,   its a shoe-in!
 
Just ask Shoemaker, 

The Shoe 

@Brooklyncapper

 Dont Forget as a dog on the road vs a higher seed.  Cant believe they only won by 7!

Those damn g-men always letting bettors down.  I mean that ATS %...  I mean that 14-4 record vs the man.  Pathetic really, those tickets would have been so much nicer to cash if they would have won by more....  

Worthless giants.

Was going to do a post on it, but quite frankly, this forum aint worth divulging the info.

Note taken though.  Is one not amazed at how many handicappers on Covers are playing with teasers and parlays, many their best bets, and largest guarantees this year.  Just look around and take in all the exotic play on this forum.

Take into account, less then 5% on this forum even know there is a whole new playbook, and well, things are setting up like a house of cards for a huge handle of money to come burning to the ground.  The experts most certainly have an IED buried somewhere,  dont try to predict which one, use back door algebra and my mirror concept, and the House is giving away the outcomes.
This is how I am clipping at a better then 80% clip.   Totals have been my huge downfall for the last 5-6 weeks (ncaa too)
or that win % would be 90%.

Behavioral betting patterns crossed by predictive outcome models.  = high win % probability.   

Lines makers never thought of this......

Man are they screwed*

Yea really, how could anyone be a fan of Joe?  Especially as a gambler who looks for a QB that can cover.  Tough to be a fan of Joe for sure.
Much rather have mahomes and his recency of spread coverage for sure.

Growing up a mile from you might be the only reason he cant win a superbowl.  Very good point.  I will write that down for the Conference championship.  Good handicapping angle for next week.

This shit never gets old??