Blue Jays Picks, Predictions & Best Bets vs the Nationals for April 1

The Blue Jays offense has shown life at times this season and as Andrew Caley explains, they should deliver against Nats' starter, Trevor Williams.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 1, 2025 • 13:23 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) doubles against the Washington Nationals.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) doubles against the Washington Nationals.

The Toronto Blue Jays will go for their third-straight win and a series victory when they take the field against the Washington Nationals on Tuesday night.

Jose Berrios aims to bounce back after getting bombed on Opening Day, while the Blue Jays will look to hit some blasts of their own against the Nationals' Trevor Williams, who makes his first start of 2025.

Check out my Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks to explain why we are fading the Nats starter for Tuesday, April 1. 

Blue Jays predictions for April 1

Today’s Blue Jays best bet: Tagging Trevor

Trevor Williams Over 2.5 earned runs (+105 at BetVictor)

The Toronto Blue Jays struck first in their series with the Washington Nationals, taking the opener by a score of 5-2, tagging starter Mike Soroka for four of those runs over five innings of work.

The Blue Jays will try to keep that production up when they dig in against Trevor Williams tonight.

Williams is a very interesting pitcher. He spent the majority of his career as the backend of the rotation kind of guy, known for giving up a lot of hard contact. In 2023, it came to a head when he ranked in the Bottom 8% of both expected ERA and expected slugging while surrendering a National League-high 34 home runs.

Then, something funny happened. Williams had a breakout last season. He started throwing his sweeper way more, and it made his fastball more effective. However, it lasted just two months after a right flexor muscle strain kept Williams out from late May to mid-September.

So, it’s hard to know what Williams we will see tonight, but the right-hander pitched to a .299 batting average and a 1.35 WHIP over his final four starts this spring. I'm not sure if I'm a believer in the 32-year-old breakout yet.

And we do know this. The Blue Jays have gotten off to a solid start this season. They enter this game ranked ninth in batting average and 12th in OPS. They’ve also been fairly patient at the dish with the ninth-lowest strikeout rate so far.

Andres Gimenez has found his big stick, Bo Bichette looks like his old self, and even George Springer looks like he’s found the fountain of youth. Not to mention Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hasn’t even really got rolling yet.

The Jays have tagged starters for three or more runs in three of their five games this season, they do it again tonight against Williams.

Today’s Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Trevor Williams Over 2.5 earned runs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI

Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 hits

While Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hasn’t exactly lit the world on fire through his first handful of games during the 2025 season, it’s not like he’s done nothing, either.

Vladdy's RBI market continues to give us value, and the Blue Jays’ star first baseman has driven in a run in three of his five games so far this season. Add him to get another one tonight in this matchup against the Nationals.

And if I know anything about early-season baseball betting, it’s that you ride a hot streak, and there is no one hotter on this Blue Jays’ roster than Andres Gimenez.

Gimenez leads the Blue Jays with three home runs and a .1421 OPS and has collected at least one hit in all five games this season. Let’s back him to extend that hitting streak to six tonight.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Live Blue Jays odds for today

How to watch the Blue Jays today

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Tuesday, April 1, 2025
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV Rogers Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios
(0-1, 10.80 ERA)
Nationals starting pitcher Trevor Williams
(2024: 6-1, 2.03 ERA)

Not intended for use in MA.
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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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