Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game 2

Francisco Lindor and the Mets offense fired a dud in Game 1, but Ed Scimia's picks see New York getting up off the mat in Game 2 as the Dodgers try to cobble together a bullpen game.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Oct 14, 2024 • 12:30 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Francisco Lindor New York Mets MLB
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The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to build off a dominant Game 1 performance when they host the New York Mets for Game 2 of the NLCS on Monday afternoon.

In my Mets vs. Dodgers predictions, I’ll talk about why New York is in a good position to grab a bounce-back win in Game 2 as Los Angeles looks to piece together a bullpen game.

Keep reading to see my full analysis and MLB picks for Mets vs. Dodgers Game 2 on October 14, and don't miss Tony Sartori's Mets vs. Dodgers prop picks. 

Mets vs Dodgers prediction

Who will win Mets vs Dodgers Game 2?

The Mets have been able to depend on Sean Manaea down the stretch and will have their most advantageous pitching matchup of the series as the Dodgers turn to a bullpen game. I like New York to win Game 2 on the road.

My Mets vs Dodgers best bet

Mets moneyline
(+120 at DraftKings)

My analysis

The New York Mets took one on the chin in Game 1, as the Los Angeles Dodgers started strong against Kodai Senga and never looked back. However, the pitching matchup in Game 2 should give New York hope that they can steal a road game and head back to Citi Field tied 1-1 in the series.

The Dodgers are looking to piece together a bullpen game on Monday, beginning with an outing by Ryan Brasier, who has served as an opener several times this year. Brasier has been solid in those appearances and put up a reasonable 3.54 ERA and strong 0.964 WHIP in 28 innings of work during the regular season.

My concern isn’t with Brasier specifically, or even any other particular member of the Los Angeles bullpen. Instead, it’s more about the logistics of throwing several pitchers at the Mets and hoping none of them have a bad day.

The Los Angeles pitching staff has been great as of late, throwing 33 consecutive scoreless innings to tie an MLB postseason record. But it would be shocking to me if the deep Mets lineup doesn’t break through multiple times over the course of nine innings of bullpen work in Game 2.

New York can also have confidence in its starting pitcher, Sean Manaea.

The lefty has been excellent so far in two postseason starts for the Mets, allowing just three earned runs on nine hits over 12 innings of work. And while the Dodgers have handled left-handed pitching surprisingly well this year, I still have to think Manaea and other southpaws give the Mets the best chance of slowing down the explosive top of the Los Angeles lineup, especially as Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman do hit notably worse against lefties. 

The Dodgers may be favored today, but this game sets up well for New York, and they’ve been taking advantage of opportunities like this all season long. I’m taking the Mets to win outright in Game 2.

Mets vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Mets moneyline

Over 7.5

Francisco Lindor 1+ hits

I’m expecting the Mets to win tonight by finding spots to break through against the Los Angeles bullpen, and that’s the game story I’m attacking in my same-game parlay. I’m taking New York to win outright, and parlaying that with the Over at 7.5 runs, as I expect a breakout game for the Mets offense and also expect the Dodgers lineup to contribute to the total.

Finally, I’ll take Francisco Lindor to pick up at least one hit tonight. Lindor has a hit in three of his last four postseason games, and hit .273 overall this season. He was held hitless in Game 1, but should be able to rebound and bring home our Game 2 SGP.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mets vs Dodgers odds

Mets vs Dodgers live odds

Mets vs Dodgers opening odds

  • Moneyline: New York +126 | Los Angeles -137
  • Run line: New York +1.5 | Los Angeles -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Mets vs Dodgers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Mets earned more than 13 units for backers on the moneyline this season. The Dodgers came up about three units short in the regular season.
  • New York went 24-10 this year in games started by Manaea. Los Angeles is 5-0 when using Brasier as an opener.
  • The Over held a 93-69 record in Dodgers games this season, and also had the 87-78 edge when the Mets played this year.
  • Los Angeles is averaging a total of 9.42 runs per game, slightly higher than New York’s average total of 9.03 runs.

Mets vs Dodgers trend

The Mets are 9-2 in Manaea’s last 11 starts, including the postseason. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Dodgers.

Mets vs Dodgers Game 2 info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Monday, 10-14-2024
First pitch: 4:08 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
(12-6, 3.47 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher: Ryan Brasier
(1-0, 3.38 ERA)

Mets vs Dodgers latest injuries

Mets vs Dodgers weather

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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