bucknut5

What is todd bowles doing on defense over there to be so bad ?

That last matchup was a defensive disgusting performance from both , the difference is falcons d has not continued to look so bad and Tampa has gotten worse 

You get to bet against the worst d that is busting coverages regularly and has now missed its top 2 wideouts

Falcons are mid but they at least do some fundamentals

What's the system on the bills ?

But you faded the saints last week so the same process worked then ? This is why handicappers are a rare breed. Normal people just say it's random and don't think further.. And it really kinda is. 

Commanders shit the bed vs Tampa. They ain't all that.

@theclaw

Feel buying high on green bay too they are super high thought of in market now - and have played worse competition. Colts/titans vs niners/texans is huge edge to vikings. i think if we were buying high on vikings this line would be more like a pickem. which i feel like it should be for as good as vikings been.

saints -3 ! eagles can't stop the run. a slaughter.

colts 1 - bears can't run and perfect situational spot

browns -6.5 - daniel jones vs a suffocating jim schwartz d

dallas 1 - parsons vs shit oline. , not the same ravens teams of past

chiefs -3 - cousins is not in rythm yet struggles vs blitz, chiefs were great week 1 and falcons sucked and now it's flipped ?

bears/colts u 43.5

eagles/saints o 49.5

browns giants u 38.5

broncos/bucs u 41

wash/cincy o 47

chargers/steelers u 35

Giants gonna be able to score on that browns d ? Feels like browns suffocate Jones and get some turnovers finally. Gotta think browns can put up 20 on this giants d.

@KyleBowler

And none were dominated or ill prepared as much as Carolina 

Agree. Ppl say well the trends say they bounce back. But if you slightly adjust the trend it doesn't work. Panthers can't defend the run. 

Canales vs harbaugh is massive. One team is buttoned up. Other team isn't prepared.

Then look at the QBs. 

Thursday

Buffalos -10. Prime has improved the dline vastly and hired Sapp they will stop the run and on offense will spread out the slower Dakota 

Friday

Tcu -9.5 big bounce back spot for horned frogs. After natty they expected hangover year and now they have peak bounce back in the positive direction motivation. 

Badgers -23 someone check out the weight room program in kalamazoo. They get massacred in the second half. Then you have longo who excels at running it up late in games. Huge bounce back year for badgers.

@Mananddogs

 Also sdstu doesn't have the Arizona transfer Johnson. He was one guy who could matchup with UConn in the post 

@Griswold1

 I agree... is it not always like this where u just ride the hot and cold streaks ?

Just play the streaks this year. Bills are a play on now 

why do these trends only go back 2018 or 2020 ? ..so if it goes back to 2000 it's no good trend ? maybe thats not a solid trend then

alot of the trends just don't make sense. why does if the next game is on the road matter ? or if home field doesn't mean much these days why are home divisional dogs so much more profitable then away divisional dogs

Thoughts on the Devils?

@Crater

 They should of ran it there and picked up a first imo 

Broncos were the right side last game and match up well. Amazing how people are able to ignore denver dominating the boxscore

That said i dont trust denver, but cant get down with the easy kc victory just cant see how you ignore the last contest

great info in here

Say you want to put down a dime, or 20,30k on some games or more like a whale right upfront at the cashier.

These guys bringing straight cash to the sportsbook , credit cards have limits, bitcoin ? - not talking online talking in person at the book

@LB_Dirtbags

 do you watch all the games ? just wondering with so many teams - how it's possible to bet this sport. How many teams do you have a grasp of. 

that creighton play sounds like it should be more than a 2 unit. nice writeup lmk when you have some 5 units